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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. EURO made a pretty big leap towards “something” for the Carolina’s
  2. 12z GFS way different then the suppressed CMC and EURO and is an amped coastal for New England
  3. Honestly that’s how we get most March snow outside the mountains. If 850’s are workable with a dynamic system. Pretty rare to get a non-suppressed storm with an established Barney airmass this late in the year. The system showing up on all models is a fair signal at this timeframe but as stated it’s as thread the needle as you can get even for here. Mountains are definitely in the game.
  4. The 9-10th period has been on models for a long time but it’s literally a 1.5 day cold shot so there’s no margin for error but yea probably enough of a signal to pay attention to.
  5. 6z is a big hit in southern Virginia. GFS Looks like modeling leading up to last storm lol.
  6. Pretty impressive cold in central NC. 26 here right now, may fall a little more. Several locations in teens including Louisburg, Roanoke Rapids and Roxboro with a wide area of low 20’s. Seems like temps undercut guidance especially in rural areas pretty significantly
  7. NWS says 28 TWC says 26 either way that’s a hard freeze for here
  8. 32.6 this morning for the low. Looks like a hard freeze tonight. Wonder how many more hard freezes we have left this spring
  9. This weather is awesome. We had a good winter, it’s March, I’m happy with it
  10. If that comes to fruition it would be hard not to chase one last snow event this year
  11. The snow piles at work are taking a beating from the mid 70’s last couple days. Still have two giant piles left but they’ve lost half their size since yesterday. A few of the smaller piles are barely hanging on and will be gone by this afternoon. Always funny to me looking out the window and looking at white snow piles in the 75 degree sun. Was thinking they’d make it to the refreeze this weekend but there’s no chance now
  12. I need a break after staring at every model run since Christmas
  13. 72 was high yesterday. 39 this morning
  14. Being it requires “Barney” cold to get below freezing in a couple weeks I’d say I’m happy with this winter and ready to move on with weather like the past two days. Wouldn’t mind a few sunny chilly days and the frost/freeze cycle to continue into April for bugs
  15. 34.2 was this mornings low. Today is definitely the last day for my two remaining snow piles. Will say, the ones at the office will last a while. They piled it high as a car top after the storm and did it in the shade. Still several feet deep. One of y’all must’ve been driving the plow there
  16. 28.2 65.8 Currently 44.1. Classic spring day
  17. 12z GFS brings back Barney after the first week in March
  18. We fell well below forecast guidance. Low of 28 this morning (current temp). It refroze my driveway snow piles. Maybe they can hang on another day or two?
  19. I really think the extreme -AO leading up to last weeks storm was crucial as it all but ensured our cold airmass would be deep and sufficient for the storm. Suppression wasn’t why some lost, lack of an early phase and dominant NS was the main issue. Storm track was textbook for the Carolina’s. Larry sharing stats about highly -AO corresponding to SE winter weather in February was telling. Ways to win in a Nina…
  20. As I sit here and watch the very last snow disappear from the shade in my backyard, it’s hard not to think back on this season and how fortunate we have been to track so many threats and see the board alive almost the entire winter. The discussion and insight some of the experienced posters on here offer is invaluable and literally cannot be replicated outside the forum. This season was one of the most challenging and chaotic to forecast from start to finish I can remember and this board was all over it. I’m thankful for a decent snow year for the triangle folks. I know the Charlotte and foothills folks are still waiting their turn for a good storm, but almost the entire forum saw winter weather. Maybe one more threat materializes, I’m sure the mountain folks are far from done with their winter, but if it is done here, it was a fun ride and this place makes it so much more enjoyable when a storm works out. Thanks to everyone one on here who contributes and gives an amateur on here like myself a source of info I cannot get anywhere else
  21. How in the world is Raleigh only -1 this year? I guess the first two weeks of February offset the whole winter lol
  22. 19.8 this morning. Broke teens two days in a row after Feb 20
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