NorthHillsWx

Keeps ticking up… HRRR keeps insisting on heavy banding this afternoon

Temp down to 28. Bigger dendrites mixing in now

Brick said there was, I’m still seeing what you saw

Roofs starting to cave here. Car topped

Updated. There you go. Snowing moderately here now

It matches the advisory text. I think they’ll update it

WINTER STORM WARNING BRICK

Raleigh upgraded to winter storm warning!

Yes I’m at my house. Nothing crazy but penny sized flakes and very steady now

I think that’s the best RAP run in many runs

Flake size increasing here every time I look out window (which is frequently)

CC line looks like Carthage to lillington to four oaks. That will move A LOT while the band forms. Being a half county south of Wake is positive. It will likely move into southern wake but how far north might depend on banding and rates

Man it’s cold out there. Gusty wind blowing flakes around

Flurries have become steady light snow!

One radar observation- looks like the initial band developing in the Sandhills is further west than most CAMs had it

DP slowly inching up with the flurries. Going to be hard to work today

HRRR shows REALLY good banding over triangle in next few hours. Could get some very good rates where that sets up.

If you’re in the triangle that is the radar you wanted to see at this point. In line with some of the higher total CAMs

This one’s been a roller coaster. If we hit the boom it would be absolutely sweet

@eyewall @StantonParkHoya @Brick Tamland Its snowing (flurries) at my house… How are you all feeling about it here given what models/radar look like

ILM Radar is a good one to watch to see the precip blossoming that becomes Raleigh’s snow. Looks really good to me

Being it just started snowing here I don’t think we’re going to make it any warmer. Only 30 right now. I had been concerned we’d slip above freezing but that seems unlikely with snow building in on radar

Yes. And N GA was completely dry on those models and that is not the case. Any extra moisture we can buy helps. Like the banding showing up over wake on some of the CAMS. Could be some good rates north of the mix line. Officially flurrying here!

Lots of mping reports showing flurries in wake county. That’s a good sign with extremely light returns that we won’t waste much valuable QPF on Virga. Almost triple the dewpoint from where we started with the late January system too. Precip looks to be blossoming on schedule in the southern piedmont. Look for how west that sets up as to how far west the best banding I’ll get. Chapel hill/Durham obviously need it as west as it can get and any extra westward expansion helps Raleigh Great sign seeing the snow in foothills. A lot of models kept them completely dry through the morning

I think the difference is the boost of precip from the gulf moisture. That extra .10 if realized could go a long way. Radar trends are positive imo. Lots more returns and precip than some of the dryer solutions west of us. I think if we just get the coastal we’re good for 1-3” but any additional precip can jack those totals up