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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. NorthHillsWx
    I have no idea how it’s possible but the sleet is actually mixing with snow now
  2. NorthHillsWx
    It’s not getting above freezing unless we get a heavy squall that brings the warm nose down. With how weak QPF is I kinda doubt that line will be as modeled once it hits the wedge. I think ice storm averted
  3. NorthHillsWx
    It’s been steadfast. It will be hard to unwedge from 21 degrees unless we get that heavy squall line, imo. Rare to start a wedge event at 19
  4. NorthHillsWx
    Maybe 1/2” sleet. Very little ZR. Precip looks limited at best. RAH expects everyone to get above freezing in central NC and last batch and most remaining QPF to be all rain. Thinking ice storm cancel? NAM appears to have kicked butt. Roads are awful, sleet ice mix stuck to everything. It’s 21 so I’m not surprised
  5. NorthHillsWx
    Down to 19.8 now. Light frizzle
  6. NorthHillsWx
    Worried for yall. This has transitioned from a midlands SC to SW VA ice storm
  7. NorthHillsWx
    I’m still confused where all the precip is coming from… radar looks weak
  8. NorthHillsWx
    ZR in Raleigh. Some IP mixing. So much for sleet saving us, glaze on everything. QPF only limiting factor now
  9. NorthHillsWx
    Raleigh- nothing
  10. NorthHillsWx
    We must’ve completely lost our blocking. This thing just wants to ride north
  11. NorthHillsWx
    They change anything?
  12. NorthHillsWx
    Cold isn’t the main question, it’s whether there’s enough precip to cause big issues
  13. NorthHillsWx
    Yea, I’m going with RAH but them cutting totals in half from 7 am to 4 pm didn’t exude the notion they have much confidence in what they’re putting out. Nor is the the high end of almost tripling their predicted total. Pretty much their graphics say you could have anywhere between 0.20” and 0.85” of ice, a winter weather advisory or the worst Ice storm in your history. I mean I could get paid to make those call maps
  14. NorthHillsWx
    I am speaking for the Carolina’s and Georgia. Y’all are confirmed and guaranteed to be under the firehouse we thought we were going to be under. Virginia is going to be a glacier come Monday
  15. NorthHillsWx
    No one *knows* what this is going to do. It seemed LOCKED IN for a major ice storm. Now, we’ve got Mets doubling down, Mets refusing to make a call till go time, Mets cutting totals in half, Mets flip flopping with each model run, Mets calling out other Mets? weather apps spitting out 8” of snow, people wondering if their power will be out for days or if theyll be at work Monday. I mean this is absurd.
  16. NorthHillsWx
    In all the storms we’ve tracked here this is my least favorite and it’s not even close
  17. NorthHillsWx
    NAM is honestly a nuisance event in Raleigh. 0.30” of mixed QPF then the rest is plain old rain. WTF are we getting an ice storm or insignificant slop?
  18. NorthHillsWx
    Hopefully they’re right, 0.30” though still impactful is nowhere close to what happens when you approach 0.50” I guess that’s why they waited to pull the trigger on the warning
  19. NorthHillsWx
    Yea, that was a pretty drastic step back. Haven’t seen much that supported the original amounts recently but they went below most everything I’ve seen come out
  20. NorthHillsWx
    RAH really cut ice totals back for Raleigh. 0.36” forecast, nearly cut in half from earlier. Anyone know what their thinking is on that? Less QPF and warmer? Seems like a huge step back but thankfully impacts would be significantly better
  21. NorthHillsWx
    It already has busted thermals bc of a GLL it’s gonna rain
  22. NorthHillsWx
    RAP is hours of light ZR. That is how you add up accrual
  23. NorthHillsWx
    Looking closer at the 12z CAMs even though a lot of moisture was going north, you can see the showers that develop in the dry slot and I think that’s what some here have been picking up on- if you’re in the wedge even though you might get the dry slot it likely doesn’t stop precipitating. Happens all the time with warm season wedges, supposed to be 70 but stuck at 50 and drizzle, light rain. Not convinced the moisture goes north of us but if it does it doesn’t mean it stops the precip
  24. NorthHillsWx
    Everyone’s burnt out. Storm that was supposed to start tonight is waiting till Sunday lol
  25. NorthHillsWx
    On my way to the new storm thread
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