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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. 12z GFS brings back Barney after the first week in March
  2. We fell well below forecast guidance. Low of 28 this morning (current temp). It refroze my driveway snow piles. Maybe they can hang on another day or two?
  3. I really think the extreme -AO leading up to last weeks storm was crucial as it all but ensured our cold airmass would be deep and sufficient for the storm. Suppression wasn’t why some lost, lack of an early phase and dominant NS was the main issue. Storm track was textbook for the Carolina’s. Larry sharing stats about highly -AO corresponding to SE winter weather in February was telling. Ways to win in a Nina…
  4. As I sit here and watch the very last snow disappear from the shade in my backyard, it’s hard not to think back on this season and how fortunate we have been to track so many threats and see the board alive almost the entire winter. The discussion and insight some of the experienced posters on here offer is invaluable and literally cannot be replicated outside the forum. This season was one of the most challenging and chaotic to forecast from start to finish I can remember and this board was all over it. I’m thankful for a decent snow year for the triangle folks. I know the Charlotte and foothills folks are still waiting their turn for a good storm, but almost the entire forum saw winter weather. Maybe one more threat materializes, I’m sure the mountain folks are far from done with their winter, but if it is done here, it was a fun ride and this place makes it so much more enjoyable when a storm works out. Thanks to everyone one on here who contributes and gives an amateur on here like myself a source of info I cannot get anywhere else
  5. How in the world is Raleigh only -1 this year? I guess the first two weeks of February offset the whole winter lol
  6. 19.8 this morning. Broke teens two days in a row after Feb 20
  7. Don’t know what forecast was but we exceeded what I thought. 46 here. Snow is gone besides shade. Grass still completely covered in shade and driveway snow piles are rock solid. Weenie as it gets
  8. Bank on it. It’s wake and Franklin counties year
  9. Welp. Snow is nuked. Hate watching it melt but at least it was quick. Shady spots should hang on, yesterdays melt froze so it’s gonna be a bit tougher
  10. Larry will be all over the post season analysis of this winter, I have no doubt. Not sure there are too many analogs. A fantastic surprise for the triangle, coastal, Deep South and mountain peeps
  11. 18.4 last night. No water on my road to refreeze but I’m sure there are slick spots. Beautiful morning but our snow is going to get zapped
  12. It was 26-28 today and ripping and the roads still melted while we accumulated on non dark surfaces. It’s gotta be REALLY ripping to stick to roads midday now. I got 0.70” today and it accumulated on a snow board but my street went from covered to water during the peak of it and it was snowing hard and 4-6 degrees below freezing with snow on the ground from yesterday. Also, my wooden snowboard had melt water on it in a semi shaded area with a temp of 28 when I took my last measurement and icicles underneath. Yesterday at 25 degrees my street was melted until 4 pm when the sun dipped and it accumulated at will. Areas with green grass have half the accumulation as places with dormant Bermuda. This storm was the prime example of sun angle always wins unless rates are extreme in daylight. That being said, everyone from Raleigh north has 3-5” of snow and more north and east so yes, you can get a major storm now but sun angle changes it and lighter rates in daylight absolutely do not work
  13. If this wind wasn’t blowing it would probably be near 10 in the morning but it’s whipping. Probably only get to 20 unless it falls out
  14. Dynamic is what a big dog is. The January storm would’ve been 1/2” max in central NC and nothing on roads if that same storm happened yesterday. Dynamic storms could stick if it was 75 the day before. 6 hours of dendrites and 0.5 mile vis and it don’t matter the temp or sun angle: that’s what we lookin in March. It’s our white whale but after this storm why not us?
  15. We eeked up to 35.4 but honestly very minimal melting besides roads and driveway here
  16. That’s ideal. After the first week of March snow is a pipe dream. Bring on spring, but keep the 80’s/90’s out of here
  17. That late February sun angle is no joke. I have no doubt we sacrificed an inch+ to the sun even yesterday. It’s why I put my snow board in the shaded side of the house
  18. No question Wake verified warning across the northern half of the county. Durham county definitely exceeded warning criteria despite the advisory. An over performer by any means for here. Still 30 degrees out. Sun is starting to peek. We’ll see how much water can evaporate off roads but it’s likely to be an ice rink again tomorrow morning
  19. We’re down to flurries and it’s starting to melt so I went ahead and took my last measurement. 0.70” today, 3.90” for the event, 3.70” settled depth on the uncleared board including yesterday and todays total. I have no doubt we would’ve had much more had the majority not fallen during daylight. It’s 29 degrees and there was meltwater on my wooden snowboard. Honestly we may have had more than my 0.70” I should’ve measured after the first band. Great storm 5.80” on the season. Exceeded climo and wall to wall cold besides first two week in Feb. Winter gets an A and if we luck into one more storm A+ is on the table
  20. Roads are in great shape out of neighborhoods. The late February sun angle is working
  21. The size of some of these flakes is ludicrous. I’ll be honest, I underestimated todays snowfall
  22. This is definitely boosting triangle totals
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