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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. 50-60 mph ground verified gusts showing up in southern piedmont
  2. Moments later: confirmed tornado in Myrtle beach moving NE. Debris signature clear on radar
  3. That area Myrtle Beach-Wilmington needs to be vigilant for tornadoes with this band moving through. Lots of areas showing broad rotation and there’s a lot of energy with that band
  4. That was a really good storm. Everything stuck and was in mid 20’s and snowing. Stayed cold afterwards. That’s the only bright spot since December 2018 and it was just 3-4” in my area
  5. This weekends storm has trended way east. Probably saves inland areas from worst winds and severe threat
  6. One positive trend is this thing has really sped up. What was looking like a long duration event stretching from Sunday to Tuesday is now mostly just Sunday afternoon. Rainfall totals have come down accordingly. I know everyone needs the rain but 3-4” in a short time after last weeks rain would probably cause flash flooding
  7. This is looking like a significant weather event. I’d expect a serious squall line in Florida too
  8. At least we don’t have to worry about “what if there was cold air”
  9. Yea I guess to broaden my point: this isn’t even going to produce snow in New England with a perfect track in mid December. For us it’s not shocking but the lack of snow up north with a storm track passing over the “benchmark” is highly, highly anomalous for mid December
  10. Early next week’s Miller A with a perfect storm track and absolutely no cold air is going to sting. That being said, if that track continues this year eventually we will score
  11. While I will admit there aren’t any really warm days in the LR, it’s freaking above freezing across the entire US outside of mountain areas for days straight in mid-late December across the border. I mean when ND is struggling to get below freezing (not below zero) in late December, we are in major major trouble for a long time
  12. It is certainly concerning seeing the consensus towards a prolonged mild pattern for the entire continent. We’ll need to see some signs of cold air building up north to have any hope going into January. Like I said earlier, kicking the can through December isn’t the worst but it becomes an issue if we’re still sniffing for a change in the LR when the calendar flips to January
  13. Im ok with it as long as we’re seeing some signs of something changing in early Jan. Otherwise, we’re going to be stuck in our can kicking pattern we have been in since December 2018
  14. All indications seem to be pointing to a punt until early January at the earliest for sustained cold and snow chances outside the mountains. MJO and ensemble guidance is ugly. That being said, my brother is reporting about 1/2” of surprise snow from Urbanna Virginia this morning
  15. I wish this was snow but we “jackpotted” with this event. Finished with 4.04” of drought busting rain
  16. Yea I’ve noticed that. Insane rates here. Just like that we’re over 3”
  17. This is drought-busting rain. Training over us since 4:00. Over 2”
  18. Rotation near garner is starting to look dangerous
  19. Sorry I should’ve elaborated- 17th through the end of the run periods (which happened to be Christmas). I wasn’t questioning your statement I was saying it looks like the entire lower 48 will be AN from the 17th-on using the ensembles. Was simply curious what you saw beyond that.
  20. EPS and GEFS have been pretty consistent in torching from December 17th through Christmas. What are you seeing that shows a flip?
  21. Our winter is the Iowa offense. Getting our punter out early and often
  22. Todays weather would’ve worked on Christmas Day
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