mattie g
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Everything posted by mattie g
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Looking forward to multiple runs this year that maul South Carolina with 30" under 240 hours, only for the ultimate solution to be some wet snow in Garrett County.
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The earliest trees in my area are basically bare at this point, with some just barely having turned and others in full color. My neighborhood (especially a few of my immediate neighbors) has lots of huge beech trees that seem to take forever to fully drop, but they're kind of nice to have around to admire the colors - they're a nice mix of green, yellow, and orange right now. But those things shed leaves and nuts and husks all year round. So frustrating...
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You’re young. We don’t feel bad for you.
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^^ I think I'll pass on getting my hopes up for a snowstorm during the beginning of November.
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Average the two and you get the sensible weather most of this sub.
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I'm not particularly interested in tracking snow in November, but I am interested in tracking continuous disruptions of the SPV.
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2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread
mattie g replied to WxWatcher007's topic in Mid Atlantic
You have to account for inflation in all of these calculations, though. -
Plenty of frost, especially in the areas just down the street near the creek (which are in a relative "valley" in the neighborhood). Still...only got to 35 in my neck of Burke.
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Awwww...you should have waited for snowman19 to post this.
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Yeah...ton of work to do it manually. It would be a neat project though! Exactly. You'd have to come up with a formula to weight the model output, then ideally connect to model output via API that would write to a table, then source from that table via some sort of code to get your own output. I think it would be a super cool thing to do, but like I said, I don't have nearly the technical chops to do it! Honestly, just coming up with the logic would be a big task!
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Not sure if I got below 37 in my area of Burke. It was a little breezy this morning, so I'm sure that played a part.
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We need a formula that calculates the model-predicted snowfall as averaged for the season. You'd probably need an API and someone with coding experience to get it down pat, but it would be awesome to come up with something to show that X model "actually predicted" 32" of snow for Dulles this past season or whatever. I have an idea as to how it would work, but don't have the skills to make it happen...which is why I'm just a PM for a highly technical team and not an actual developer.
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Hyperbolic and disingenuous just to drive views, likes, and re-twats.
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I was coming in here to say much the same - colors started much earlier around here than in any recent years, and lots of trees are really bright. I like to measure the timing of the colors each year against what they're like at Halloween. Seems like the last five years (at least) have had lots of green leaves on the trees while the kids are trick-or-treating. We've got two more weeks to go, but the trees are already as far along now as they've been at Halloween in any recent years.
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I like your confidence in what would be a decent winter around these parts. Not a great one, but certainly more interesting (particularly with the cold) than anything we've had (at least IMBY) recently.
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But just because the forcing has set up in a certain place right now doesn't necessarily mean it will remain in the same place for the next five months...or does it?
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Looks like the Farmer's Almanac is all in on a -NAO. That's a good place to start. I'll take any good news I can get.
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Been pissing down pretty good for the last couple hours here in Burke.
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2016-2017 was shite down here. Get that talk outta this sub!
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Pretty sure that, in years past, I've often gone with RIC hitting freezing at around the same time as, or earlier than, BWI. Didn't this time, so I hope they miss!
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I've been getting AARP mail for the last 15-20 years. When I finally hit that age I won't be fazed one bit.
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Exactly what I was going to say. Give me the fattest mother of all f*cking torches from November 1-December 15 and then have the pattern flip. If that means six weeks of that flipped pattern with it again going warm to end the winter, then that's 100% fine with me. The funny thing about that Twatter re-post is that the PNA is rebounding back towards positive territory by the end of October. I honestly hope it remains negative for weeks...
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Damn...I honestly thought I had entered 10/19 for BWI and IAD. lol
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Basically this. And this.
