mattie g
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Everything posted by mattie g
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I'm really surprised that you're taking the pessimistic route.
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I was looking at that, and I could tell that something was amiss, but I honestly don't have the skillz to really identify - and especially explain - the hows and whys things happen the way they do. I found it interesting that there were two storms nearly back to back, whereas previous runs squashed that initial wave. Again...I think I know why that happened, but my explanation would probably suck.
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I actually think we're on the way up again. There's a storm with tons of moisture and a lot of cold air around. The potential is there, which I think is something we should be cautiously excited about.
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I need Christmas purrn.
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And then it rains on us for Christmas. That's more likely. Basically it does the same thing as 18z yesterday, except it's 24 hours later and without the snow.
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Delay for slop. Just like schools.
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Miller A icefest. Somehow I don't think it goes down like that.
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Fairfax County gets five actual snow days. Any days beyond that will be synchronous virtual learning days (two-hour delays). It would be suck if the kids were to get a day off for some mixed bullshit, but I honestly don't see that happening. maybe a delay, but definitely not a day off.
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Unless that thing gets squashed, then Amity is in for a smashing.
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But it finds a way to get a storm rolling in Texas/the Gulf at nearly the same time as it did yesterday. Good patterns somehow find a way...
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There's a vort that drops down the California coast and ends up in about the same spot as our vort did at 18z yesterday, but things look different up top. Lots of confluence, cold air is getting established, and then things get their act together along the Gulf...
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12z GFS is trying to set up a storm on the 21st-22nd now. Problem is that we have a Great Lakes Low and heights are high out in front of the storm and we don't have cold air in place. Northern vort never drops in and phases with the southern energy, so touthern low just slides off the coast after a little bit of frozen precip. So different than the look just 18 hours ago. I mean...not even close.
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Yup. Now I'm just waiting for WinterWxLuvr to come in and tell us that we need precip first!
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This is what weenies like me need to focus on. That storm sets the stage for what happens after it, so until it's come and gone we're going to see some fluctuations in what the models show for this period of interest. We watch and wait and teeter on the edge of despair.
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No it doesn't.
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If I start out with a little slop, that'll get me on the board with a first Trace (that I'm aware of). I guess that'll have to do!
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I was just thinking exactly the same thing. Excellent new blood!
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I can’t remember a damn thing, but I’m pretty f’ing smart. I think.
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That plant blooms in December every year, if I’m honest. There’s also a house around the corner whose daffodils start coming up during the first “thaw” period in January or February each year, as well. I’ll be sure to post a pic to push weenies off the ledge as soon as they pop. As for swim, we had a fundraiser yesterday morning and practice tonight. It never stops!
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Pic from a dog walk today. Spring is right around the corner.
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https://www.reddit.com/r/confidentlyincorrect/
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I’d love to be in a situation in which a low spinning in central PA spat out snow here. See: 00z GFS and the low in Wisconsin.
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That’s awesome! I played plenty of baseball and soccer in Vineland. I grew up in Camden/Pennsauken and most of my family is still scattered all across South Jersey.
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While I know that many here don’t care about weather outside of our backyards (i usually feel the same), I love seeing so many storms coming in off the Pacific and dousing the West Coast.
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Goddamnf*cking right. Get on the board and usher in some cold, then see what happens after that.
