mattie g

This new mutation came a the "perfect" time to make itself known. With American family gatherings from Thanksgiving through the New Year, it was ideal for it to rip through the country. Of course it's hitting other places around the world, as well, but as for the MBY experience, this was just the perfect storm. Hope all of you who have any respiratory issues feel better soon!

I haven't seen one flake of snow so far this winter, so if I have to stay up to see a little white rain, it'll have to do.

This thread is a lifesuck.

OK...reports are now out that it was Gio's mom, Danielle, who called Earnie Stewart, the USSF Sporting Director about the events from 30 years ago. She has confirmed it. It's like a soap opera!

News broke less than 48 hours ago about the accusations. Folks have been trying to figure out who the "leaker" was, and for it to be Claudio Reyna is absolutely massive. For those who don't know who Claudio is, he's not just Gipvanni Reyna's dad, but he was also the US men's captain for a long time about 20 or so years ago and was one of the most successful American players to play in Europe. He was also really good friends with Gregg Berhalter from high school forward, so for him to be the person who did this is absolutely f'ing mindblowing for those of us who have been fans for decades. What a sh*tshow, but I'm kinda loving the drama.

Seriously. So clickbaity.

I personally think just going with ENSO analogs is lazy, especially since it seems we’ve not seen real atmospheric coupling this season, but I’m just a no-nothing weather layperson, so what I think holds no weight.

The Euro at 240 is like the GFS at 240 - a global op at 240. Ensembles are all looking tasty as we get into the middle of the month. Keep that up and we’ll at least have plenty to talk about.

Nerds

No. No.

This hasn’t been nearly as interesting as I was hoping, even after I gave up on any sort of snow.

FFS…front isn’t even through and the power is out in my little piece of Burke.

Very cool. Arctic fronts have always resulted - and will always result - in big temp swings in winter. Neat to see this one join the ranks of some of the more notable ones.

What he didn’t say is that this woman is a MTG clone.

I’m honestly shocked to see the Maryland school systems that have school this week. Fairfax is off all this week and next!

Give a man a fire and he’ll be warm for a day. Set a man on fire and he’ll be warm forever.

Without snowcover, that would be a really impressive temperature for that site.

I hope that big slug of moisture coming in from the SW cools the column just enough to bring us even colder rain.

Agreed. Let's think of the inverse. Is it possible that a borderline event becomes all snow today because the low bombed out just that bit more (mets would know better why this might happen) and the column crashed harder because of it? I just don't like discussions about a warming climate to be distilled down to very specific moments. It's like that one person who said that we could have "used a little bit of that good ol' global warming" during a cold stretch a few years ago. It's reductive in that it claims that one specific instance is proof of an overall larger issue, which I think does the science wrong. With that, I should probably back out of this discussion!

But you don't know that. Look...I'm not saying that the earth isn't warming. What I'm saying is that you can't pick out one specific snowfall and make a claim that it would be rain nowadays because the temps were borderline during that specific event.

It's been there for a while, but the problem is that we get relatively flooded with warmth from southerly flow ahead of the vort in the Midwest. What the GFS did all those days ago was to have confluence keep that vort from cutting, then eventually getting below us and giving us a double dip from the southern energy and that northern stream vort. With the confluence no longer coming into play, that vort cuts and floods us with warmth, then the precip from the southern energy falls into a warmer column. It's not until the front comes through that temps support the possibility of frozen.

Because you seem a good kid, I’ll indulge… The issue with that post is that the graph shows extreme temp drop events happening regularly over the last nearly 100 years. In fact, the modeled event is less “impressive” than each of those top 10. Attributing this event to climate change in any way misses the point entirely…and does climate change science a disservice, in my opinion. I may not disagree that climate change is simplifying/could amplify extreme events, but this event is not one of those.

Wait...why would this be the result of any sort of climate change? Arctic fronts bring in really cold air. Always have, always will...as the graphs in that tweet show.

That's because they don't have the resolution to see it.

Gotta admit that's pretty chilly. Too bad we won't have the snowpack that we were hoping for.