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mattie g

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Everything posted by mattie g

  1. Dulles's normals today are 52 and 33 and it never averages less than 42 for a high and 25 for a low. Folks need to readjust their expectations.
  2. What I find the most annoying is the truly disingenuous posts from experienced/long-time posters. Whether those are trolling posts, ones simply made to get a response, or even ones made out of ignorance, they irritate me to no end because they end up pushing a bunch of weenies to cry in their Cheerios and shit up the thread.
  3. Nicely researched. Good luck with the forecast!
  4. But how much precip are we going to get, and are the hillsides of the Shenandoah still going to spontaneously combust by the end of the winter?
  5. One really good thing about yesterday's event was that it was a nice day-long soaker with some heavier rain thrown in for good measure. Looks like ~2.3" in Burke.
  6. Need to clean up more leaves, so I'll probably have my last mow next weekend. Need to edge, as well, to clean up the look for the winter!
  7. Claiming that we have collective climatology denial is actually pretty harsh. I don't think anyone here denies that our snow climo isn't great, but unless you're one of the Debs on this forum (you know who you are), what fun is it to go into a season picking low snow numbers? It's more about optimism and the hope that we can break our snow duck.
  8. Precip to our SE off the coast. Winter cancel.
  9. We’re going with a few other families later in Christmas week. Maybe a little early, but hoping to max out while we’re there. Should be ideal timing for you, though. Good luck!
  10. But that one week, Terpeast! That ONE WEEK has the heaviest precip offshore! OH, THE HUMANITY!!!
  11. Soooo...a pretty canonical Nino look with us on the northern edge of the positive monthly precip anomalies?
  12. And I want to gouge my eyes out every time I read a post from a person who can't help but be f*cking doom and gloom. "Ooooh...look, the positive precip anomalies for one week in the middle of December are too far south!" "UGH! That look is soooooooo Nina!" "It's so dry. It's going to remain dry for the rest of the winter!" F*ck's sake...
  13. Radar is filling in with the steady stuff just starting to fall.
  14. There are barely any leaves on the trees at this point IMBY (actually my neighbors' backyards)! It'll be good to have the stragglers gone though. Really raw morning. Bus stop this afternoon should be fun!
  15. This is another thing I've ben watching - how the timing of waves plays with the injection of cold air. I'd sign on the dotted line right now if we could get a winter in which we have waves riding from the southwest along the thermal boundary and throwing moisture up and over fresh, cold airmasses. Easy 3-6"/4-8" without worrying about the mids torching as warm air screams in aloft from the south.
  16. Get the general pattern set up now and we wait and watch.
  17. I see blues and reds in wat I think are good places, but I don't *really* know what I'm looking at (but at least I looked).
  18. Damn man…that’s your first meaningful contribution to this board in years. Nice work!
  19. Interesting that they’re essentially tossing the GFS’s idea from the last couple runs of a system forming down south and riding up the boundary to firehose us on Thanksgiving. Curious to see if the GFS stays its course over the next few runs or corrects back to a solution similar to the one we’ve been seeing for some time.
  20. This is what I'm focusing on. I love seeing the Nino start to flex, so from there we can have a little more confidence in things progressing in a fashion that many of the smart folk are foreseeing. It's November, so it's not supposed to snow IMBY, nor in the backyards of most of us on here. We need Manchester to get an inch in the next few weeks, but otherwise we just keep an eye on the progression of the atmospheric response to the Nino and hope for the best!
  21. This board can seriously f*cking suck sometimes.
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