mattie g
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Everything posted by mattie g
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Add one more "snow" onto that list for me. I had a light coating a couple nights ago. Pretty amazing...
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I saw probably 10 flurries. Chalk up another T for the season!
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Lots and lots of broken hips.
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She should go on Saturday so she can party before the semester starts.
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And it's not terribly funny anyway. Yay GFS!
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Been that way for quite a few runs. Not a fan. I'm west of the fall line (but not by a ton) and have a few hundred feet of elevation, but verbatim I don't like it.
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Just edited - TT
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78 looks decent on TT.
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Nadathing in Burke, but it does look snowy.
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Nope. It's been steady in showing the rain/snow line running along 95.
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If you look at the previous three runs on TT, the Low is in *exactly* the same place at 71 on all three.
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I don't want to pass on 3-6" if we can get it because it seems to me that the midweek thing is even more up in the air, but it would be hard to watch if North Carolina gets blasted next week while we smoke cirrus at 5F.
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In theory, it should learn that if the Euro was overdoing the burying of energy in the Southwest then the next panels shouldn't leave that energy behind. It'll be super interesting to see what ultimately plays out given how steady the Euro AI has been.
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Oh...no doubt! But the midweek window has a TON of upside and I kinda want in on that. lol
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Aren't AI models more prone to hallucination if they don't have good datasets to learn from/refer to?
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If you average like 4x the amount of snow and it falls throughout the season and your infrastructure is meant to handle it, then it shouldn't be surprising in the least! I distinctly recall that in one of bigger winters recently (maybe 2013-2014?) that folks around here just eventually got on with things once we kept getting snow and it stuck around for a while. A few inches here or there just didn't have the impact it would have had if it had been one of the only events we got that year.
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Just bringing this over here so I have my bases covered:
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I'm liking the idea of 3-6" of cold smoke, but I'm convinced that if we max on Sunday then the midweek thing is toast due to wave spacing or energy being left behind or vorts squashing or someshit that I know nothing about.
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It’s been steady with the Sunday event the last couple days and I’m of the opinion that what happens with the second wave will be a direct result of what happens with the first. Makes sense if the CMC hits us next week given what it’s got for Sunday.
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CMC has been north for the last few runs. This doesn’t look much different.
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11/21: T - grauplets 11/22: T - SnowTV for an hour or so, followed by drizzle 12/1: T - on-and-off small snow showers for about an hour 12/24: T - some light sleet in the morning left a coating 1/3: 0.75” - squall/thundersnow 1/5-1/6: 9.0" - bumped a little based on local spotter reports 1/11: 1.0" - pretty little weekend thing 1/14: T - light snow shower late in the evening Seasonal Total: 10.75"
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Seems to me that, if the Sunday thing turns out, then that affects the ability of the next wave to turn the corner. Either way, we have quite a few shots coming up, which is pretty much all we can ask for!
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Like others, had a pretty nice flizzard in Burke at about 9:45. Not much of a coating, but definitely enough to whiten the cartops.
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This is awesome. I love being in the bullseye nine days out!
