crossbowftw3
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Everything posted by crossbowftw3
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I would expect Binghamton to toss out an advisory for me by this afternoon’s cycle. Low end warning event may still be in the cards for us, rest of 12z and 18z will be telling. Very good ratios will pay dividends.
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Wherever that gradient starts is going a long way to settling what happens for those of us far N&W. I’m not completely committing to just a 1-3 forecast here just yet
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Going all the way to the wire, that’s for sure. One thing is for sure: if you do pull 8”, I get 5”, and then 50-100 miles east of us doubles you and triples me I might not sleep well for the next week
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One certainty is that ratios here far inland will be much better than on the coastlines. Longer duration light snow could totally still stack up a solid 4”+. The least BGM should, and probably would do, is issue advisories for the southeast counties (including mine) this afternoon
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Interesting trends overnight for the coastal, but probably game over for me seeing >6” still, sneaking a nice advisory event would be fine even if it gets massively dwarfed by whatever maximums there are on LI and due east from there
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Game is just about over for me in the Catskills for >6” by this point but, wow, this is looking like something genuinely special. Don’t park your car anywhere near JFK lol
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Is that a 7.3” hourly rate I see here for Nantucket??
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I’ll take 3-6/4-8” and run which is exactly where this probably settles for me just over the Delaware on the NY side.
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I can personally attest to the above from March 2017 and last February, but in particular March 2017 where I pulled near-consistent 2-4” per hour for that whole event…. and maybe even 5-6” in an hour between 10-11 AM that day
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Almost certainly out of time to get the huge totals working in here but solid advisory to low end warning might be in the cards for even here in Sullivan
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I tip my cap to this NAM run if it verifies. Get as many pictures as you humanly can, I want to see them all
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Where I am in the Catskills it is getting insanely close between nothing and 6+, which is still relatively nothing seeing the totals being spat out on LI And trust me, they can have it, this weekend one year ago I was digging out of 25”, don’t need that again
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NAM, again 6” line is basically about one hour of distance away from me now and an absolute stunner (again) for city east
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This is going to be something special, wow
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5.8 in NoVa about three days before Irene.
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Who wouldn’t? This has been quite the wild ride all things considered, can’t wait for the conclusion especially as it pertains to where the death bands set up. I need cameras to watch dang it
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That’s what makes this whole thing so strenuous/hard-to-nail-down. This far west we can still pull something great but at this point the ship has almost all but sailed. All eyes now to figuring out where the bands set up
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that sounding as good as you can get for something like this
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Absolute stunner of a NAM run for Boston. I am 100% willing to bet someone near there pulls 40”. Guess I know which cameras I’m watching
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Think this could get pulled back enough for folks like @snywxto sneak a 2-4/3-6 event? Anything helps with such high ratios
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During a NAM run from yesterday during this exact timeframe my area would have 29:1 ratios during this point. Any more west shifts….
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For us far west and N/W folks I can’t see much more than 2-4”
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Still stuck right on the western edge of the gradient
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I’ll take 2-4 and run at this stage, going to be watching radars and live cams very closely wherever the bands set up
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For us well north and west crew this still isn’t our game but at this point I’m rooting for NYC and LI. You guys can take this one
