 
        crossbowftw3
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Everything posted by crossbowftw3
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	8/-3 and hasn’t moved all morning, hard to fathom getting to the 15 degree high for the day
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	january 3rd potential coastal grazercrossbowftw3 replied to forkyfork's topic in New York City Metro This one’s going to the wire, wouldn’t shock me if you guys closer to NYC (and south) cash in on this one just as long as you let us inland folks have this weekend’s potential
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	We’ve seen these things before, and wouldn’t shock me if that’s the case here. Nearly 30” in South central VA through at pure 10:1 though, lol.
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	It’s like living in Groundhog Day, another rainy and foggy Christmas morning. At least there’s no wind to deal with today.
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	Actually has just been full liquid so far in Sullivan, albeit I live in probably one of the lowest elevation areas of the county (still at 700’)
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	Advisories populated now, most for 1-3” and maybe a bit of ice before most go to rain. Still all snow north of us.
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	Coming back to this hours later: daytime event only places a cap on the level of accretions. Probably only up to .2” ice at most in elevation
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	Taking typical QPF reductions into consideration, and in conjunction with how temperatures should possibly be right between 29-32 for the event, you still probably see a solid .1-.3 event. Still enough to draw some advisories or even a short fuse ice storm warning for anything more. Elevation remains key.
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	Not yet interested in what models are showing for next week. Call me again in 3-4 days so I can scramble to pull out my snow cleaning equipment
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	We stopped right around 1.25-1.5” here, made for a decent first snow. More surely to come as this winter wears on.
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	Actually coming down at a solid clip in Sullivan, wouldn’t be shocked to squeeze out a couple inches
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	The rain very briefly came to an end here before it quickly picked back up again. Guess I will break 5” in a storm for the second time in seven weeks
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	OBS and nowcast 9PM tonight-8A Wednesday for a general 2-5" rain, isolated 8" possible. 40-60 kt damaging wind likely Tuesday-early Wednesday. Focus for damaging wind and heaviest rain is the I95 corridor to the coasts. Power outages esp CT LI.crossbowftw3 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro Rain has finally subsided in Sullivan, now time to see about the second wave and how close in it can approach.
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	OBS and nowcast 9PM tonight-8A Wednesday for a general 2-5" rain, isolated 8" possible. 40-60 kt damaging wind likely Tuesday-early Wednesday. Focus for damaging wind and heaviest rain is the I95 corridor to the coasts. Power outages esp CT LI.crossbowftw3 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro It would appear the low’s stalling and retrograding back west process has commenced
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	OBS and nowcast 9PM tonight-8A Wednesday for a general 2-5" rain, isolated 8" possible. 40-60 kt damaging wind likely Tuesday-early Wednesday. Focus for damaging wind and heaviest rain is the I95 corridor to the coasts. Power outages esp CT LI.crossbowftw3 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro Dry slot never properly overtook me apparently (upslope/enhancement?), it’s still coming down albeit at a much slower clip compared to earlier. Must be closing in on 5” with about 12 hours of rain remaining.
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