Kmlwx

Just finished the 2nd round of "shoveling" - super easy with how light and fluffy it is. It picked up for a time while I was out there but it's mostly just pixie dust now.

There wasn't a "wild swing" with the WAA (part 1) of the storm. The shifts have been with the transfer to the coast and the Monday/Tuesday part of the event. The low location and the upper level stuff has adjusted just a touch to be unfavorable for us.

I like your creative way of not actually saying the bad word

Off the DE/MD border coastline isn't going to do it for us. Would like it a decent bit south and east of there with the tuck. I glanced at a bunch of the models earlier and they seem to be focused in that area. Down off Norfolk or even a little north of there would be much better IMO.

I don't think the RGEM is a "terrible" model - but when it was the only one showing the banding arcing all the way back for the DC-Balt corridor I knew it was probably going to cave. That's when I tempered my expectations and buckled in for the WAA.

If anyone else is using GR2Analyst - I had the program crashing on me a ton this morning when start polling - I'm terrible at keeping the software up to date. Head over to the owners forum and download the latest update. That solved the crashing for me.

Roads were partially covered here in the 8am hour. Looks like our side roads are now completely covered. Closing in on (or perhaps at) one inch at this point. A poster above has it right - kind of "drizzling" pixie dust right now. Already ran the shovel down the driveway. Very dusty snow - super easy to shovel.

I hear you - we all are chasing HECS storms. But of course not every storm is going to be a HECS or MECS. For me it's all about the scenery - get the grass blades covered up completely and I'll Jebwalk and enjoy the snow. Unfortunately, the advent of the internet and widespread distribution of snow maps and weather models has really hurt the enjoyment of snow for weather weenies everywhere. We could be having another winter like last winter - so I try to look at the bright side. It's snowing and it's sticking (for the most part).

It does seem it might be a legit drier area - but I'm not too worried about it. In a bit of a lull right now but it looks "bandy" in NoVA heading our way. I've already been on a Jebwalk™ this morning. If we completely fail on the deform tomorrow I'll still chalk this up as a good storm. It's powdery goodness out there right now. I'm taking the Bob Chill approach. Hand wringing gets us nowhere.

Enjoy the snow! Don't worry about a potential dry slot. It's pretty out there! There's patchy radar coverage in that area and it always shows less snow than is actually there. Just look at the LWX radar you can even see the beam with a little slice cut out of it. If we spend all day hand wringing about dry slots we'll miss the great powder falling now. Take the Jebman approach!

You must have a microclimate. It's been pretty good so far here in Colesville. You've been pretty down on this event the entire time it seems...not just today.

Even the RGEM/HRDPS are decently NE of the area basing off the earlier runs. I'm sure we'll get light stuff Monday but I think this is the main show for a lot of us (the today stuff). It's gorgeous out there so I'm certainly not complaining. Looking over at the long term thread it seems we may not be done either. Pretty Sunday!

Great snow scene out here in Colesville. It looks like the majority of the guidance has adjusted the banding to the north and east of us. Need that low to tuck/stall farther south than it is shown on models. Still seemingly within the margin of error - but I'm thinking we better live in the moment and enjoy what we are getting today. Not sure we'll max potential on part 2 tomorrow.

Ditto what Bob said over here in Colesville, MD at my parent's house. Slipped out just in time for a coffee run. Pretty slick on some of the neighborhood streets already.

Not a complaint - more of a reassurance/observation. I'd think a lot of folks may mix - perhaps not during the early parts of the WAA thump - but as it transitions to the lull period sleet is probable.

Decent amount of folks concerned about sleet/mixing. I'd think some sleet or mixing is possible for many areas outside of the favored all-snow locations. Don't the bigger storms always tend to mix? We've discussed this extensively in the past.

It's run at the ensemble resolution not the op resolution.

You're entire "persona" on here has gotten about as old as it can possibly get. Global models are not going to have a good handle on individual storms until there is some sort of actual center of circulation - and even then they can struggle. Nobody on this forum needs you posting the same crap on an hourly basis. It's global models - they might show a storm today and won't tomorrow. In the end - there might be a monster or a piece of crap exposed center. If you're truly a "weather enthusiast" you should really try to absorb some of the excellent posts on here from meteorologists and non-trolls. Posting a little less and taking in some of the knowledge is great advice.

Remember this day so vividly. Hard to believe it's been this long...

My greatest life accomplishment - Starting the thread about our regions biggest earthquake in recent times on a weather board.

Can you imagine if the December storm from that winter had happened closer to this one and the one on the 9th/10th? We would have had like 50-70 inches of snow on the ground lol.

I especially like how I was clearly just sitting at the computer that day given that I posted a minute after the quake EDIT: less than a minute

omg. I forgot I was the one who started this thread.