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ORH_wxman

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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    They look NW if anything 12z on top, 18z bottom
  2. ORH_wxman
    Yeah it’s possible. If it is, then the non-hydrostatic models should start showing this even more than regular global models ala euro. Still a bit out of their wheelhouse but the nonhydrostatics have been pretty far NW.
  3. ORH_wxman
    If it’s legit then we should see the non-hydrostatic models start doing it even more than the hydrostatics as we get closer. So those will be the ones to watch. Deep convection like that will be handled worse by the hydrostatic models.
  4. ORH_wxman
    I will take my chances with this look
  5. ORH_wxman
    Look at how much bigger the convective blob out there than 12z. Much stronger. Seems like it disrupted the WCB maybe at the last second. I was happy with that trend otherwise. H5 deeper and better kink in isoheights as it passes over us.
  6. ORH_wxman
    QPF queens won’t like this run. Not going crazy on the WCB but I think it’s better than 12z with all the features that matter.
  7. ORH_wxman
    18z Euro coming in a tick NW
  8. ORH_wxman
    GFS will start to get a clue once at 24-36h out.
  9. ORH_wxman
    Reggie is pretty tucked. Tracks almost over ACK.
  10. ORH_wxman
    A stretched out upper level trough is actually pretty classic for a norlun sig...so I could def see some steady light to occasionally moderate snows rotting for several hours after the main CCB has moved out. No Kevin, they won’t go until Friday.
  11. ORH_wxman
    Looks better for you than 12z since you get in on prolonged banding.
  12. ORH_wxman
    Steady light snow but not really sticking. A little bit to the mulch.
  13. ORH_wxman
    NAM looks less amped than 12z which should not be a surprise given its northern outlier status.
  14. ORH_wxman
    Yeah you were really close to where 925mb RH started to drop off on the OP run so near the MA/NH border and northward would start having problems with LL dry air. 12z EPS looked better up there.
  15. ORH_wxman
    Yeah the euro would prob have a filthy band in the pike to rt 2 region based on the MLs
  16. ORH_wxman
    I saw that. So the “about to be defunct” GFS is the one not agreeing with any other guidance.
  17. ORH_wxman
    Just catching up on 12z stuff after being on road all morning. I see the GFS is still clueless. Euro OP went a hair south but still have the zonked NAM and the Ukmet/Rgem/GGEM in between.
  18. ORH_wxman
    Nice...deformed over SNE
  19. ORH_wxman
    06z euro is going to be more amped than 00z I think.
  20. ORH_wxman
    Amazing how steady the EPS have been. Kind of hard to go against those at the moment.
  21. ORH_wxman
    Lol. 06z NAM has a powderfreak to SYR band
  22. ORH_wxman
    Both Canadian models were pretty darn fast.
  23. ORH_wxman
    Comparing the pressure pattern (how are the isobars oriented) and the H5 heights, it is significantly more robust than the GFS.
  24. ORH_wxman
    Lol so bizarre. It was definitely more amped through like 48 or 54h. I thought for sure it was coming north this run.
  25. ORH_wxman
    RGEM def a bit more amped than 18z
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