Jump to content

ORH_wxman

Moderator Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    93,099

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    Radar in NJ and S of LI should fill in as the low get cranking a bit and you get the low level inflow
  2. ORH_wxman
    Building nicely
  3. ORH_wxman
    It’s true in this case. Terrain tends to be most important when midlevel forcing is weak. Events where you just see a steady firehose of moisture. Terrain can enhance or reduce intensity but they don’t cause midlevel death bands.
  4. ORH_wxman
    Jerry’s RPM fetish. Final run for all of SNE pre-snow (SW CT started snowing shortly after 21z)
  5. ORH_wxman
    Look at all those S+ obs over PA into N NJ. You love to see it...
  6. ORH_wxman
    You won't get less than 8 there.
  7. ORH_wxman
    Current radar looking pretty good...I like the WCB look there
  8. ORH_wxman
    No that "rule" has been around for like 2-3 years now. (except first order sites still can clear)
  9. ORH_wxman
    That's been the most important trend over the past 24h....the WCB maintaining some strength and starting to link up with the CCB where they are in phase more....before, they were almost totally disjointed and separated.
  10. ORH_wxman
    Def closer to 12z Euro now on the banding part....maybe still a smidge N but at least the gap has rapidly closed.
  11. ORH_wxman
    NAM gone wild with CCB over SNE early tomorrow AM.
  12. ORH_wxman
    Not the right setup for an ORH jackpot....but it will be a solid hit regardless. Prob 12-15ish. Can't rule out a bit higher if a few lucky bands happen.
  13. ORH_wxman
    Yeah I can see that. Someone is gonna get 2 feet...best chance is prob west in Catskills but there is an unignorable chance it creeps into N litchfield county and parts of adjacent W MA.
  14. ORH_wxman
    Cranberry Bog joking aside....there's prob gonna be a secondary jack a bit north of them like near Blue Hill I feel like...maybe back to Foxborough. That typical interior SE MA zone where they will get slammed with lower level CCB stuff tomorrow and get some CF enhancement
  15. ORH_wxman
    Definite chance of a secondary smaller jackpot zone down there. Agreed.
  16. ORH_wxman
    Yeah you aren't jackpotting....i agree on that. But you're not going to get 7 inches of sand either I don't think. You're gonna get CCB action tomorrow.
  17. ORH_wxman
    Jackpot for New England might actually be in Litchfield county and adjacent SW MA....combo of big WCB hit before it fizzles and also getting clipped by the ML goodies.
  18. ORH_wxman
    Lol, my drawing is a rough approximation....could easily tickle that SE 5 or 10 miles.
  19. ORH_wxman
    Yeah you can see where the H7 WF is below in red....I put in the likely spot of the ML goodies based off that in the blue area....prob near the 600mb WF in this system.
  20. ORH_wxman
    He's actually in a really good spot on the Euro for ML banding....His area up to like MHT and then back WSW to near your hood.
  21. ORH_wxman
    You look like you're gonna get some really good snow growth for a time in the ML goodies.
  22. ORH_wxman
  23. ORH_wxman
    Waited until the final run before the storm. That's a good look though in all seriousness....good CCB action tomorrow AM...really cranking for your hood too.
  24. ORH_wxman
    The problem with the algorithm is that even if the max lift is below the DGZ, it is still saturated above that up to like -10 or -11C....that's not even close to being sleet. You're gonna get seeder-feeder easily. If the air went dry above the -5C layer, then maybe it could be sleet....but even then, we are SNE and stick out into the ocean, so we have a lot of salt nuclei available and ice crystals can form with salt nuclei at much warmer temps.
  25. ORH_wxman
    Yeah I don't think it would do a ton back as far west asbyou are, but it could add enhancement in the form of extra frictional convergence in eastern areas tomorrow AM....just something to watch.
×
×
  • Create New...