ORH_wxman
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman
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That’s a pretty amazing mean for 4/27
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Just about the 33 year anniversary....lets go big or go home.
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Here comes the Euro.....def south more like the Ukie
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LOL at Ukie again....
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Lol....deep thoughts from cranky. I'm predicting a gradual transition from early fall to mid fall to late fall this year between late September and Thanksgiving.
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Yeah you'll need some really solid dynamics and good rates. Getting 3 quarters of an inch of qpf over 10 hours won't cut it. We need that in 4-5 hours. Otherwise it's probably a slushy C-2" over higher terrain....still notable for so late, but not that crazy. Advisory amounts or better would be much more historic.
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Prob irrelevant at this stage what the snow maps say....but there is potential just looking at the synoptics on the mean
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6-8 weeks late. Maybe the epic Xmas 2020 pattern will happen on Halloween instead to balance it out?
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Trying again for D7....what month is this? Like February?
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Lol
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He was poking fun at your double negative....you really mean 20F below normal, not -20F below normal
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Ukie is really close for accumulating snow next Sunday night/Monday.
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Oh I was dumb and looking at the 2nd "old" ORH coop. Threadex wasn't working.
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Record low max for ORH today is 39F in 2002. If these clouds/flurries keep hanging around that will be in jeopardy.
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Snowing here now.
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There had only been 1 other occurrence of -10C this late at CHH....amazingly, it was -13C on 4/23/89. Didn't quite reach it today, but the same stat probably holds true for -9.5.
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Not really...maybe chop it by 25%....but we're not running 70F temps here. We're running temps not that much warmer than winter when you look at the whole column.
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If this pattern had happened like 6-8 weeks ago, we'd probably see like 40-60" in a 2-3 week period.
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We had solid ice outside this morning....all standing water froze.
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They need to adjust their point-text values and shading. (look at ORH)
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I remember 5/6/96 in ORH....we had snow starting to stick to the mulch and trash can tops....but then it ended before it could really go beyond a trace officially.
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Wednesday looks horrendous....like low/mid 40s with wind for highs despite some sun and no precip.
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Yeah the 2nd weekend system seems to have a little more potential to produce snow than the first one...though either could do it if things break right.
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Really low freezing heights (around 4200-4500 feet) tomorrow for any convection....probably should see small hail in any type of convective element tomorrow.
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FWIW, CHH raob has only ever had an 850 temp of -10C or colder one time on record after 4/15. It occurred on 4/23/89...-13C (!!!). They may make -10C at 12z Wednesday....though they could fall just short too.
