ORH_wxman

Cranky said the cold was going to be cut off from the CONUS after 4/20

Too early to get a good handle on the low. We need to wait until mid/late June. Jaxa (and Area) at this point in 2012 was higher than 1996 (the highest min year on record).

Gotta love the 516 thicknesses over NYC for 5/10

Yeah, I mean I could have waited until the ensembles come out, but that is less fun, lol. The ensembles have actually trended stronger with the anomaly in that area the past several cycles. I highly doubt the intensity of the OP verifies, but that is pretty cold stuff over Canada on the ensembles.

Cranky says there's no cold left in Canada after 4/20

yeah.....The problem with a mean trough over us is you just end up with too many days like today....yeah, when you get lucky and end up under high pressure, it's' a bluebird 60/32 type day...and it feels nice when you're out at peak heating. But that mixed with days like today is why we get -5 to -10 departures consistently for weeks. Your "nice days" are still average or below average. Hoping we break the streak of this weekend and pop a couple positive departures....but it looks like we go back into the shitter again after that.

Lol. Cranky kept saying that Canada cold was done after like 4/20 so we were done. Yet we somehow keep advecting in 530 thicknesses every 4-5 days.

Yeah it was nice until about 3pm. Then the overcast and marine layer hit. You know we’ve been dumpster diving when a 60F high before the marine layer comes through is a great day at the end of April.

Pileateds hang around our woods too. I don't think I've seen an oriole since we moved into our current house, though I've heard them on occasion. We saw a scarlet tanager though which was pretty cool. We've also had a Great Horned owl nesting here for 2 of the last 3 years.

As long as we're using the BDL/Hartford thread....coldest monthly max temps for April 2020 67F 1940 69F 1926 69F 1975 70F 1924 70F 1920 70F

Kevin trying to polish a pretty epic April turd this morning. Just admit this has been horrific and move on. Yeah, there's probably a couple years that may have been worse with a 6 day wheel-o-rhea, but that isn't much of a consolation. That's like saying 2002-2003 or 1993-1994 winters sucked because it wasn't as good as 2014-2015.

I remember in 2009, ORH went until late July before hitting 80F that summer (they did hit 80F in spring a few times though). That June/July 2009 combo was like living in Labrador.

I should add that BOS is going to do this as well....BOS current April 2020 max is even lower than ORH at 62F.....their previous record was 66F set in 1873, 1888, 1946, and 1989. So they are probably going to smash it by 4F.

We'll see what happens tomorrow....but it's looking increasingly like ORH is going to set their record low monthly max for April. Their high so far this month is 63F. Previous record is 65F set in 1966 and 1924. Doubt they can pull much above 60F tomorrow.

Had some pokes of sun, but it's a losing battle at the moment. Though satellite shows some promise for this afternoon. You know it's been dogshit when 49F and mostly cloudy at lunchtime at the end of April feels like a "win"....but it actually does.

ORH set a record low max yesterday....high of 39F. Old record was 41F. That leaves only 1 day now in April with record low max of 40F+....4/29/02 with a high of 40F.

We are mixing with flakes now. Below 36F seems to be the magic number.

Over to light snow in ORH.

We were def just getting some cat paws splatting on the deck outside in these heavier echos. I was out covering the grill after dinner and didn’t believe it at first so I double checked and the temp is down to around 36.5-37 so it’s definitely likely 90-95% melted flakes that I saw.

You came a little too late to experience the string of winter Marches in SNE....we'd been on a March snow binge before this year. Your 'hood probably had 16-17" last year on 3/4. Then of course we had the back to back monsters in March 2018 with snow cover basically the entire month (ditto 2017 on near-entire month snowpack). Hopefully we have a real winter next year.

Oops, my other post was wrong thread....moved it. Still wonder if we get a few flakes in E MA this late afternoon/evening. 900mb gets down to around -4C....with -2C getting just below 925mb. So if there's anything steady, it may make the surface as flakes.

Pattern looks like horseshit going forward. Hopefully this coming weekend pans out though....we could get lucky and sneak in a couple COC days.

There’s def a few homes at Stratton that go over 2500. I’ve looked like pickles probably has. They get close to 2600 right on the mountain there. Big homes that cost a lot of $$ though. Lol.

The storm is disjointed on more recent runs. You actually have the best part of the WCB getting shoved east into the gulf of Maine and Nova Scotia with a weaker piece back over New England. Then the CCB tries to get going a little bit back over NY state before it jumps east over Maine (and tries to graze E MA late Monday)... The disjointedness really lowers the potential in this compared to a couple days ago when some of those runs were more coherent with the WCB/CCB combo.

Yeah it’s cold. It’s going to snow right down to the coast if we can get that CCB forcing. Question is whether it’s mostly 34-35F non-accumulating 0.05”/hr type stuff or if we can get a few hours of 0.08-0.10 mixed in there to get some legit accumulations.