ORH_wxman

Yeah as long as this is true 100%, then it should be fine. Though the longer term effects are not going to be known, so on some level, this won't be quite as rigorous as a conventional vaccine which may study the effects more than a few months after taking it. We know there are some incentives to be fast, which is both a good and bad thing. I think the good outweighs the bad for sure, but acknowledging some of the potential risk isn't unwarranted.

I said a couple months after being available to anyone who wants it (i.e. no wait....no supply issues)

It definitely has been rushed. Doesn't mean it's not safe though, but this is literally breaking records for how fast they are doing this.

I agree it could take longer than people are saying. I was immediately on the pessimistic bandwagon back in spring when a lot of people were saying we'd all be stuck with a needle by autumn. But for hypothetical purposes, whenever the vaccine is widely available to anyone who wants it, that's when basically all restrictions should be lifted. I could maybe see keeping them a bit longer for things like LTC facilities and hospitals.

ID card requirement is gonna be tricky....hippa act stuff. That's also a bit of a despotic road you don't want to go down. Once the vaccine has been widely available for a couple months, you just lift all restrictions. If people don't want to get it, it's on them and it is not up to society to cater to them.

I'm sure after a certain amount of time has passed, they can mandate it for things like public schools (which already have vaccine requirements).....but yeah, in an absolute sense you can't actually force people to take a vaccine if they don't want to.

Once there is widespread availability of the vaccine (i.e. no waiting for anyone who wants it), there should be no restrictions. Hopefully that means by the time we get into warm season 2021.

It’s still pretty early. Even up there November can be quite spotty...some years it seems to really feel like deep winter and permanent snowpack sets in by 2nd or 3rd week but there’s plenty of years where it’s not much at all.

Yeah in Jackson, he will get less upslope than phin and def less upslope than Alex. Wrong side of the presidentials. But that area does really well on the typical WAA systems and coastals.

You’re gonna clean up on some of these easterly flow events/coastals and on CAD events you’ll do really well too. You’ll be like one of the last places to mix with sleet on those CAD type of systems (if you do at all). Places like Plattsburgh over to BTV might be ripping sleet pellets while you are S+. Jspins location was designed in an upslope weenie’s basement on their computer game “sim snow 2000”. That’s their bread and butter. Getting a few inches here and there when similar elevations are getting a dusting or flurries.

That's true for younger kids, but not as much for the high school aged and college aged kids. They still transmit pretty effectively. Might not be as efficient as a 45 year old, but pretty close it seems from the prelim papers. The elementary school aged kids seem to only transmit at half the rate and toddlers even less. I'll also add that the spreading seems to be done outside of school more than in it. There was that study from CT a month back or so that showed a ton of transmission is occurring in carpool settings and after-school gatherings.

High school kids don't wear them very much outside of school. My wife tells me she will see them all hanging around someone's car after school and they have all taken their masks off and they are terrible about staying distanced at lunch time when they are allowed to take them off inside. That's definitely one reason cases are spreading...they teenagers and younger college-aged crowd don't really wear them....they'll spread it to older people. People are also staying inside more now that the weather is colder.

Had my first when I was 34. Have two now...older one is 4 and younger one is 1. They make me laugh a ton. It’s pretty underrated how funny young kids are. I don’t think I woulda been ready in my 20s but who knows for sure. Might have forced me to grow up a lot faster too, lol.

Even if there were a few issues with the house, the plot of land with that type view is worth a long term investment. Just that view alone is worth a lot. It’s almost gravy that the house is in pretty good shape. That part of NH barely north of the presidentials over to the mahoosucs in adjacent Maine is still a relative secret but it won’t be forever.

Western slope is tough for retention. Esp if it's steep.

Isn't this essentially what places like the Hermitage Club already are? Country club setting for a ski resort. Out west, you get even bigger/more exclusive ones like Yellowstone Club. I'd hope that there are enough survivors post-covid to keep prices reasonable.

There's plenty of debate to be had on lockdown severity and the pros/cons of it....but this isn't the thread for discussing general lockdown policy....we all know where most everyone stands on it and it always goes around in circles. I think it's fine to discuss local covid-related issues in here (i.e. what our local schools are doing, local ski areas, etc, etc) but when we start going back to generalizations and policy theory/discussion, it inevitably just turns into a political discussion.

2020, the year skiing went from a middle class/upper middle class hobby to a silver spoon hobby.

I'm hoping this will cause more people to go to some of the smaller mountains. Some of those places are nearly empty during week days, but perhaps they can pick up some extra business because larger resorts are capped. Hopefully that helps offset at least some of the losses they are going to have on the weekend.

The lodging aspect will be tough...lodging = “ski lodge” in this case. Those things usually get packed for lunch but they can’t do that this winter. I’m sure some will be trying to spread the crowds outdoors but that’s only going to go so far....we all know about those days on the mountain where the high is like 5F. But yeah, the actual skiing part is about as safe an activity as you can do. Outdoors and many people already have face coverings anyway.

I said it in the skiing thread a while back but I’m going to wait out the first few weeks and see how the ski mountains operate. Not that I usually ski on icy ribbons of death anyway in early December.... If we have a fast start though with a lot of natural snow then it will be tempting.

My wife tutors on the side and this year has been obscene...she’s having to turn down prospective clients left and right because her schedule is already too full. She’s never had this many people requesting tutoring sessions. The sessions actually work pretty well over zoom when you hook up the iPad to the laptop and use it as a “virtual paper” to write on. She got the pen for it and everything and it works like a charm. I was skeptical beforehand asking her how she would tutor virtually, but it’s been easy peasy. But yeah....business is booming in the personal tutoring world.

Yeah for some districts it’s going to be brutal. Luckily, my wife’s district was 1 to 1 (chrome books) even before covid so they didn’t have to invest in the technology. But for places that needed to invest, that’s a massive hole blown in the budget. The school administrations have shown to be conniving dipsh*ts for the most part. They are not afraid at all to throw teachers under the bus to cover for their incompetence in planning or delegating resources to this. It has made morale lower amongst the teachers which is exactly what you don’t want to be doing when their workload is drastically increased. I already didn’t have a high opinion of school administrators before this....

Most teachers are frustrated (my wife included) because they feel like the schools are not getting much additional help at all despite the increased stress on the infrastructure and scheduling. The school admin in a lot of districts have been very tone deaf and not accommodating.

Work from home FTW....company-issued laptop with remote sign-in for work, personal laptop sitting on the other part of my desk for weather posting.