ORH_wxman
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman
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Yeah kind of weird that GFS/GEM/Euro all agree. Ukie close.
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The ORH numbers are also probably a little low ball due to the ASOS outage during the 1995-2002 period. I believe there are 5 events of 18”+ in that period.
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It's really close though....synoptically....it kind of torches the lower midlevels, but it's not far from a bigger solution.
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Yeah I'd be interested to see what a place like BTV is for 18"+ storms....probably much lower return than ORH or somewhere in E MA.
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Nothing's gonna save the interior barring April '97 redux or some crazy string of back to back 12"+ storms....but it can become a little less embarrassing if they can snag a 10-15 incher on the way out....ORH is at like 35"....they need to almost double that to hit normal (69").
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He's not even looking at the right county, lol....nowhere on that map did Norfolk county have under 8". He thinks you live in PYM county.
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Sounds like you are the one who is confused....he gets more than you on that map. He's in Norfolk county.
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BOS will be a little colder than some because of their sea breezes on those torch days we had....but they are def running too cold even when you account for that Check out the step up on MADIS...definitely not using the old thermometer or siting, LOL
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Scooter with more than Mt. Tolland?
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Need to get it colder another half degree and then let it run for 17 more months....then we'll be all evened up.
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I had like 7.5" in ORH and then i get to BOS for work and it's like 10-11". I remember being like "WTF happened here?"
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The antecedent airmass is actually not bad ahead of the D5 system....good 1040 arctic high...problem for the coast is that it is retreating eastward as the storm approaches, so you'd prob get a tight gradient just inland. This is assuming something like the Euro verified of course....which we know the caveats this far out.
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Still a marginal setup, but it's worth keeping an eye on...esp for interior. This is gonna be tough for the coast to get significant snows.
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My hill here looks like a nuclear crater....no green...only exception was a few crocuses.
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Prob gonna get absolutely smoked again next week too....great pattern out there right now. Too bad most places are shut down.
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It's marginal to begin with....so not expecting anything yet. Kevin's Morch 2012 idea though is going down the shitter about as quickly as this past winter did after Xmas. Lots of useless cold over the next 10 days minus the Friday torch. We tried to tell him.
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Might have to watch 3/24
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You probably missed a skunking by 1 year....March 2006 was a trace in ORH and the one system that narrowly missed was a south of the pike system.
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Steady snow falling here with maybe 0.3-0.4” down. Looks like one last burst to come through on radar.
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That bet I made with Kevin is gonna be the easiest free tab I’ve ever won. Lot of cold shots coming up despite the warm end of week. Not gonna even sniff top 3.
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One of the issues with leaf out monitoring is there is not a universal definition of what constitutes full leaf out. I’ve seen people claim that when the first leaf structures are visible bursting out of the buds. Another is the leaf is out of the BUF but it’s clearly not full sized yet. And other times I’ve seen it as defined when the leaf is out and at or close to mature size. This is true in the literature too. You can find different definitions.
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Very open views there....esp up in the Midland to Lubbock area and you can extend it into Panhandle area around Amarillo. Once you get into that southern zone, it can be a bit hilly....like from San Angelo southwest toward Fort Stockton.
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I don’t see that at all with that Scooter high to start the week and then possible another traversing north of us later in the week. If anything, I see large diurnal swings on days like Monday and Tuesday where the lows might be below normal.
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You’re right. I was looking at 36.7 for 2019. Not the mean. Departure was -1.2 so that’s 37.9. (37.8 if there’s a rounding figure in there) Still, +7.8 to +7.9 is gonna be nearly impossible with the dent that gets put in next week.
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Need 45.7 to get 3rd place at BDL. That’s +9.
