ORH_wxman
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman
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Yeah it’s cold. It’s going to snow right down to the coast if we can get that CCB forcing. Question is whether it’s mostly 34-35F non-accumulating 0.05”/hr type stuff or if we can get a few hours of 0.08-0.10 mixed in there to get some legit accumulations.
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Euro improved again on the CCB for E MA. Might be some accumulation Monday evening depending on rates.
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Lol that was hilarious. It was particularly funny because of how dignified the staff at JJ Foleys handled it. Rather than just tell us to leave, they said something like “I think you fellows might be a bit more comfortable in our private back room”.
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Randolph to Rangeley corridor. That’s the best bet at the moment for good snows from both WCB and CCB.
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The trend has been to drift this north and east late in the game so I’m wondering if we lose it the next couple runs.
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As long as the low gets captured it’s real. Can’t have it escaping northeast though.
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I would think you are totally fine doing that. You are bringing food and going to your own property.
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He had a great career. Nailed April 96 twins before anyone else I recall.
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The 18z ncep suite was def north. We’ll see if that sticks or not. Seems like we’ve been oscillating quite a lot from run to run.
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Yeah 20% for 6” at ORH is pretty big this far out in late April.
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Almost every model run today has had that. Even the northern NAM there. Further south runs have a bigger impact but it’s telling that even the northern runs are trying for it. Something to track at least.
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Pretty far north this run....that's a C NH to western Maine special.
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Yeah we want to see a nice re-intensification near or just S of ACK when that ULL pinwheels into place. I think the WCB stuff is going to end up too warm here...but the CCB has a chance if it can be organized well....get things saturated into the 600mb range where we have -12C temps and get the lift in that zone too.
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Congrats Katahdin.
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After getting 8-10"+ last friday night and probably 3-5" today...and then another huge threat later next week.
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Somewhere in S Maine is in the sweet spot to get both the WCB and CCB snows....probably the typical hills near Sebago lakes region given the time of year. Bigger threat down in MA is definitely the CCB at the end which could surprise later on Monday/Monday night....though the WCB is marginal for ORH county possibly...doesn't have to tick much colder to be a full thrashing there.
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Someone's getting croaked on this look
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Euro definitely showing that sig too for a nice deformation/CCB Monday evening. Again, something to watch for SNE even if the front end stuff is mostly up in NH.
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Every model like the Kanc...lol....except maybe the NAM jacks SE NH into SNE...but it still hits the Kanc well. Monads look pretty good on most runs too.
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I'm guessing he's not going to have to worry much about other hikers in the middle of a 31F paste bomb in the monadnocks.
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This is what we have to watch for Monday night....this is the GGEM
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Gotta watch that CCB area on Monday evening too....they are often undermodeled...it's actually what gave a lot of N ORH county their snow in the last system....I remember early Sat morning there was like an inch or so up near Hubbdave and then that CCB ML magic stuff gave him another 3" or so. That was kind of weak too....this one appears to be a bit stronger with the CCB, albeit still weaker than the WCB lift.
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I posted it just for you....even you get a slushy inch while Ray is doing naked snow angels.
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Even kuchera maps are pretty bullish.... The key is those rates...and obviously tracking the midlevels a bit further SE this run.
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NAM hits MA pretty good too this run...and most of SNE with the CCB later in the storm.
