ORH_wxman
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman
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It’s probably helped...esp lower down..but we should also remember it’s been very cold during the period where the fastest melt-off occurs. Usually all that snow is releasing really quickly in late April and early May but we’ve been really cold during that period.
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Friday could get dicey PM. Go morning but it will be chilly.
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Thursday should be mostly dry. Could be a passing sprinkle and some clouds around, but I wouldn't cancel a birthday golf outing over it.
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I'm hoping for several cells to produce thunder on Saturday....that would be fun.
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Saturday is insane...516 thicknesses. Not sure we've ever seen a cold pool aloft that intense in May. Basically anything that falls will be frozen on Saturday....definitely the type of day where even if there is sunshine, a shower passing would immediately produce graupel at temps in the low/mid 40s (ad temps would fall quickly too).
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It’s definitely not just a 36 hour cold shot. The 2/14/16 cold shot you reference had highs in the 50s a couple days later. That would be like rebounding back into the 70s and 80s in a couple days.
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Kevin is in classic “polish the turd” mode. We see it in winter when we have a crap pattern with +10 departures. He will say highs in the 40s isn’t that bad and try and squeeze out a marginal snow chance that has like a 10% shot at verifying. But deep down he knows it sucks. The weekend was great. It’s gonna be a while before we see that again.
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Yeah here it is....it's not the same as the current progged pattern with the whole northeast corner of the country under sub-530 thicknesses. Cranky just doesn't want to admit how dead wrong he was on the cold reload into Canada. If we got a low in that position with precip in this coming airmass, we'd be 8-10 degrees colder than last year's storm.
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This is like the equivalent of a good cold snap in an otherwise torch winter....only in reverse.
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Yeah my son is outside in shorts and tshirt right now....awesome. Probably our last above-normal high temp day until at least 5/15 or so.
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Classic post-FROPA downslope dandy where the airmass lags the wind change.
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Congrats Jimmy and ackwaves on the NAM? lol nija'd by Scooter
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The PV is a bust if it doesn’t get down into the teens.
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Lol the dude is trying to spin his horrendous call after the 4/19 snow event. He specifically talked about the cold source in Canada being exhausted. The opposite had happened and we’re seeing an epic reload.
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Lol this is classic.
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Unbelievable. The euro run is just ridiculous looking. Glad ive been outside most of today enjoying it. Not gonna be back for a long time.
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Flakes on Wednesday night/early Thursday morning?
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Cranky nails it 5 weeks late?
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Fixed your post
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Sub-520 thicknesses 10 days into May. Ridiculous.
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No more cold loading into Canada after 4/20.
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Lol. Unreal. At least we can still pop 55-60 with -1 or -2 850s this time of year if it’s sunny, but good grief. Gonna be like pulling teeth to get a 70F in the first half of May aside from this weekend maybe. Where the hell was this pattern in winter? What an epic period we would have had if the last 6 weeks had happened in February/early March. Theres gonna be another snow threat I bet. Prob NNE but if there’s ever a pattern to try and get flakes down here in May, this would be it.
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Yeah I think it was 22 out of 92 days.
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The Euro ensemble mean 540 line moves south of BOS/ORH at 96 hours and doesn't move north again until 276 hours. Over a full week in May...basically the entire 2nd week of May, not even the first week. How screwed up is that?
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I figure you will get a kick out of today's daily Euro 200 hour clown show:
