ORH_wxman

They have a couple additional advantages....some elevation and the best snows there won't be until after 3-4pm, so they will be doing it with the sun getting low in the sky.

Someone up in N ORH county or monads is gonna get a little fluff bomb I think...maybe back to N Berks and Mitch in S VT too. Best H7 fronto sort of goes right along the pike and a little north of that is where the jack will be IMHO....really good crosshair sig up in that area too.

The stuff out in PA is really where the best forcing is....and you can see it on the obs too, lots of 1/4 and 1/2 SM obs

There’s going to be a band up north somewhere (whether it’s the pike, rt 2, or near the NH border) that probably does better than forecasts. Prob like a 6” fluff job because the crosshair sig is really good there.

06z runs are coming in pretty zonked so far after 00z was a bit tame.

Euro cut back some from its really bullish 12z solution. More toward the middle of the model consensus now. I think most of those 2-4” lolli 5” forecasts are good. Someone might get smoked with a 6 spot if they can get into a band but I wouldn’t actually forecast that for a specific spot. But someone with a bit of elevation and north could do it since there’s a strong crosshair sig up there. Maybe someone in the Berkshires.

Time to see if Euro is going to pull of the coup or not like the old days. I ain’t buying it. I bet it goes back west.

The extremely low dews are the sign that the airmass is pretty cold from a wetbulb perspective. Pretty classic for March actually.

Not surprised it's cooling a bit at the sfc....925 is pretty damned cold to be supporting 33-34F at the sfc.

Most of that was already priced into the market the last few days when we saw the initial spike. It’s hard to say exactly how high it goes because the market can be irrational for periods of time even though it eventually settles onto the supporting fundamentals. There’s multiple variables too…is opec going to pump more? Will the United States signal that they are going to ramp up their own production going forward? Does the world economy stay tanking? (All of those would act to try and bring prices down)

12z EPS

Tries to prolong it too in the evening with that nice closed off low at 925 and almost does it at 850

Euro may have trended even a little more SE for Saturday from 00z, but pretty close. That would actually be interesting for many. But want to see a bit more support before really buying something like that.

Someone will prob do really well in a band. There's a pretty potent banding sig....so I wonder if it could be one of those things where even down in the valley someone gets 4-5" if they end up under a band for 2-3 hours but then not too far away where they miss the meat of the band is struggling in 33F 1 mile vis SN-. 925mb is like -4C so once under a band, I think it would wetbulb/latently cool down to 32F near the sfc. Def a steep low level lapse rate though so elevation will do well...esp if it's lighter.

Woah...Euro gone wild...esp down in CT. Large area of over half inch LE.

Yeah I'm selling any snow here except maybe a touch at the end...not even sure if it's enough to accumulate.

Yeah 12 days from the equinox is equivalent to October 1st or OCtober 2nd sun angle.

I don't think SNE is required to get drenched for NNE to score here (well maybe southeast SNE would need to be)...this has a big longitude component to it. Could be the type of system where it's ripping snow in western MA and western CT right up into VT/NH/W ME while it's raining in eastern Maine

It's not going to be a big system I don't think....but there will be some 3-5" amounts I think in areas that get lucky banding while some other areas may have light snow at 33F that has trouble accumulating efficiently.

It has some good H7 fronto

There's some good crosshair sig in there too on a lot of these soundings.

This is looking pretty nice for NNE....we'll see how far southeast the snows can get into SNE. Here's 06z EPS

The 2013 firehose storm was great

You're cherry picking....White Tdays are not that common. Prob once every 5+ years for you. Sure, they are great when they happen....they just don't happen that often because the snow has to fall usually the day before or very close to Tday because snow torches away so fast in November when it does fall. Regardles, the debate is a total watse of time in this thread anyway. It's going to snow tomorrow whether people want it or not.

March snow lasts longer than November snow since November is a warmer month...and it's not close either. March is like 5-6 degrees colder than November on average. You might hate the sun angle in March but November is a furnace compared to March.