Jump to content

ORH_wxman

Moderator Meteorologist
  • Posts

    90,911
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. Both icon and rgem have nada for 12/26. GFS will be interesting.
  2. You’re prob fine in SE MA….maybe really early morning there could be a few icy spots in interior SE MA. But most of the ice looks more deeper interior and by Xmas evening it’s mostly ORH county and over to Essex county actually.
  3. Nice little reach-around for Bos and north shore on the NAM on 12/26…..clown model.
  4. Gonna have to watch for ZR Xmas day over the interior. NAM and 3k are both still showing this possibility. Doesn’t look like a lot of precip or anything but with people visiting family it could cause some nasty back road conditions…only takes a little.
  5. 87-88 was good. 88-89 through 91-921 we’re about as bad as it gets…Nov/Dec 89 maybe the exception.
  6. I think about 60% of the posts this morning need to be moved to here:
  7. 06z euro juiced up some. Has a decent area over 0.10” qpf for late tonight/early tomorrow.
  8. I feel like Xmas could actually have ZR over the interior for a while.
  9. You are actually in a decent spot for later tonight and early tomorrow.
  10. 18z euro juiced Xmas Eve a tad more. Really south of the pike where it has a nice little stripe of 1-2”.
  11. Yeah I’m completely tossing it until anything else agrees even remotely.
  12. That system was a lot different BTW...it was really strong WAA push. This one is really a weak clipper.
  13. You might be thinking of 2005...that one happened pre-dawn Tday and ended early/mid morning.
  14. EPS finally beat down the SE ridge a bit by first week of Jan. Should be a little more accommodating to coastal systems/Miller Bs with that look....don't confuse it with an El Nino or anything, because the SE ridge is still there, it's just much weaker and that would allow us to redevelop a few of these systems and also lessen the shredding.
  15. Yeah in eastern areas, it might not get above 35 or so....depending on when the skies clear out. Some guidance kept it below freezing, but even the Euro had like 33-34F at 18z over most of eastern SNE...SW CT got into the low 40s though.
  16. Yeah and they will...they are both at extreme levels over the next 7 days.
  17. We'd probably have a week of 65F and tropical downpours with parakeets arriving at bird feeders if we didn't have that monster block...that western trough is very deep. Tip is right that the block is also shredding shortwaves, but if they weren't, they'd be serving us Pina Coladas on the express tropical jet from Havana Cuba.
  18. Yeah I'd prob barely track it if it wasn't Xmas Eve...and this does have a little bit of upside, because unlike the systems after it, it's not getting shredded to total crap. The shortwave maintains a little bit of integrity. So yeah while C-1" is probably the most common result....there's a legit shot at 2-3" too.
  19. I mean, people on here track dewpoints all summer and others track 50F temps in winter....2" of snow on Xmas eve sounds like the World Series in comparison. Nobody is forcing anyone else to track these systems.
  20. Yeah further west would have actually been a little better...like over Hudson Bay and even into central Canada, but that is hard to do because it already becomes very west-based by Xmas....something further west is usually from a folded-over PNA ridge or something and not an NAO block.
  21. Yeah we are all risking a lot of valuables hoping for an inch or two on Xmas Eve. Hopefully I have enough leftover for presents for the kiddies.
  22. Euro tries to get the 27th system into here before it gets shredded.
  23. It was almost identical to 06z....still on the dry side of guidance but prob widespread 0.5-1" amounts.
×
×
  • Create New...