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ORH_wxman

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. The CAD is pretty deep....so you may get some sleet....the sfc winds are not strong and out of the E or NE. It will be interesting to see your obs.
  2. Wow thats a solid 3-4F step change. Makes sense now on that +8 monthly anomaly....tossed.
  3. Just give us one more good snow event....it's already a lock to be shitty and cold so we might as well cash in sometime next week or next weekend.
  4. No it's still there. Very blocky look for month-end. There's nothing imminent though, so not really worth commenting too much. There's an outside chance at something around D5-6 (there's some wave-spacing issues though), but I think the better chance is more like D8-10 assuming the block holds....it could just lift out too though like the OP GFS did today.
  5. It's tough love...he's given many opportunities to tone down his posts but refuses to take the hints.
  6. Deep insight that can only be found on Americanwx Forums.
  7. Yeah that's a very deep H5 anomaly just south of us. Also, EPS/GEFS have a pretty nice 'rhea signal for early April with a decaying west-based -NAO.
  8. The reason you get a lot of resistance is for posts like these. Do you look at any data or just decide to post and hope it’s not spectacularly inaccurate? 1. There’s a decent chance that this March is actually colder than 2020 and 2021. Throw in 2016 too if you want yet another year that this one won’t beat post-2012. 2. All guidance is signaling a return to colder weather the final week of the month.
  9. How fast is it moving? Like 1mph? It was almost to the pike around noontime…and at 6pm, BAF-ORH-BOS all socked in with northerly wind flags.
  10. The clouds and precip are the big killers in spring. If it’s sunny, you can usually get away with a nice day unless it’s one of those strong CAA airmasses with lots of wind…then it sucks.
  11. It actually looks cold. Definitely could support a snow threat in the final week. But absent a snow threat it’s useless cold.
  12. We did worse, but I still had around 4" of paste or so. ORH had around 7".
  13. Yeah that's fine.....and I'm just telling you that you actually have no idea if we'll get another event or not....not that you will be wrong in your prediction. For your area, you are prob like 50/50 not to see any more accumulating snowfall....up where I am, I'm probably favored to see it again.
  14. My worst winter in the past 25 years actually had accumulating snowfall on 4/26.....April 26, 2000. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/NARR/2000/us0426.php
  15. The other winters were rats too....so yeah, this is unserious voodoo.
  16. Yeah, it's just weird he's using the logic "this winter has been bad, so that means any late season threat will fall apart" in a non-joking manner.....lol. I mean, we've had plenty of late season events in garbage winters (April 2020, April 2016 (2 events actually), late Mar and Apr 2007, late Mar 2002, Apr 1997, etc, etc)
  17. She probably did more to help disadvantaged communities in a year with her outreach than most people do in their lifetimes. You are still coming across as an asshole in this thread.
  18. The larger scale features are interesting on the 12z runs....you have the massive PV lobe acting as the 50/50 low in Labrador/New Foundland and a trough ejecting out of the central CONUS. I'd like the trough to be a little more organized....seems kind of disjointed a little and positively tilted, but those are details we know can change easily at this lead time
  19. It was...mostly just January and a few fleeting periods in February. I'm still annoyed at December where the pattern wasn't that far from being really good. We just somehow managed to get a -20 sigma PNA when a merely solidly negative PNA would have been fine.
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