I’m wondering if parts of interior like ORH county fail to make freezing. 18z euro was showing that possibility. Even BOS gets a little cold tuck later at night.
Euro had a nice little weenie band near ORH and the pike. Wonder if there’s two areas…one northern edge near fronto and another down further south where there’s a bit more LL convergence and a little extra ocean moisture.
Yeah improvement at the end. EPS also seems to like the timeframe around New Years for a potential snowier event. Some members have a good thump…OP had a bit too around that time.
Only if you believe a stronger version of the GFS will verify. Even on the GFS solution you aren’t hitting 40s. Maybe the immediate seacoast would but you are inland about 10 miles right? Not a chance west of the CF…and that doesn’t happen during Xmas day either. Would probably be more toward overnight into the 26th.
Definitely possible. I wouldn’t be 100% shocked if a few 2”+ lollis happened in a narrow band even while some areas get almost nothing. Ratios will prob be good inside that band so if someone get a tenth or a little more of LE that could easily be 2”+.
Lol at all the posts waxing poetic about no more cold/snow. Most people probably don’t even realize that 2018-2019 was actually below normal temps….nevermind years like 2014-2015 or 2013-2014
I mean, 0.05 QPF in either direction will make a big deal…lol…difference between going from maybe an inch to a dusting or flakes to getting 2” of fluff. It’s a crappy little clipper that would probably get about 5 posts if it weren’t Xmas Eve.
It’s drying up a bit on guidance but you should still get an inch or so would be my guess. It’s more problematic further east.
Hopefully it overperforms a bit.
I don’t think youre hitting 40s with a weak sfc low traveling south of SNE. Maybe if it’s sunny you’ll hit 40F, lol…but not on Xmas day if it remains cloudy.