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tiger_deF

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Everything posted by tiger_deF

  1. tiger_deF
    This is not an incredibly scientific analysis, but it seems that over the past several weeks waves have come off Africa and languished between 20-30W, with no sustained forward motion cutting through the SAL. The monsoon trough has been fairly active but it almost seems as if vorticities have strung out in an area of disturbed weather rather than punching through as an AOI.
  2. tiger_deF
    I'm definitely concerned that every time the development time frame for a system has pushed below 100 hours, the models have dropped it. Happened to the wave before the one at 25W, happening to the current wave, and may happen to the one behind it. Still very dry out there, and every wave coming off of Africa has been stripped of convection by 35-40W. If this doesn't change soon we could see a season bust of epic proportions.
  3. tiger_deF
    Curving to the left in the last few frames
  4. tiger_deF
    Looks like an active pattern ahead in the tropics
  5. tiger_deF
    0z GFS going nuts
  6. tiger_deF
    I can't tell if the board is stuck in early season or late season blues, that this middling circulation is the most exciting thing we've been able to track in over a month.
  7. tiger_deF
    Given how bearish the board is I was suprised to see our AOI off of Africa looking pretty healthy
  8. tiger_deF
    Impressive convective pattern
  9. tiger_deF
    Heaviest snow of the day here in Arlington, been shoveling for an hour and there is easily 3 inches of snow on the stairs I shoveled first
  10. tiger_deF
    How many more hours of heavy snow are we in for in Boston?
  11. tiger_deF
    Even if the low is fairly displaced to the East, I'm really hoping we get at least some sort of capture, which would make this storm go from a monster SE snowstorm to a historic one
  12. tiger_deF
    This is shaping to either be a complete bust for the models, of a complete bust for many snowfall maps
  13. tiger_deF
    HRRR for +1 at 14z vs HRRR for +1 now at 20z
  14. tiger_deF
    How's our low pressure system down South looking?
  15. tiger_deF
    GfS looks deeper, and doesn't really trend much through 18h
  16. tiger_deF
    We should really have a nowcast thread so we can observe the development of the low and any possible signs of two lows developing
  17. tiger_deF
    West shift on the medium range HRRR
  18. tiger_deF
    If this starts trending East on the next GFS run we know why
  19. tiger_deF
    I'm curious to see if the strength of the low will be trimmed up as we head closer to go time, or if it will maintain the low 970's-960's that most of the models strengthen it to. How many sub-970 Nor'easters have we had up here?
  20. tiger_deF
    Do the actual computational models themselves work in 6 hour increments, or is that just how the data is presented? Sorry if this is a stupid question
  21. tiger_deF
    These hours after the GFS and before the ECMWF are truly the dark times
  22. tiger_deF
    From someone still relatively new to meteorology, what about this is so impressive?
  23. tiger_deF
    There was far more consensus on Monday than there is today...
  24. tiger_deF
    Are we writing off a tuck/capture or is it still a possibility?
  25. tiger_deF
    Now watch the Euro do something completely unexpected at the 11th hour and ruin the consensus again
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