WB 12Z EPS…. the 5 day period starting Th. 23rd is the time where we should start to see a pattern transitioning to something more conducive to wintry precipitation. Last 2 panels are just Day 15.
WB latest GEFS extended throws us the Hail Mary as we go through the first week of March, so I guess we wait to see if that timeframe holds….but obviously we are running out of time at this point.
Stark differences in track between EURO and GFS at this range…if we had cold air in place there would be lots of hand wringing until 12Z…WB 6Z GFS compared to Euro.
WB 12Z NAM, again the potential for our western suburbs will be in the later Sunday evening period….if it does not stay SE….and IF the upper low is intense and a little further N.
WB 6Z Euro: most of the precip slides to our south. The band to watch is in SW VA at hour 90 and where that tracks Sunday night. Upper low is tracking too far south…