Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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Back to looking at model runs, EPS control is a tick south at 18Z.
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True but this time we also get a strongly negative WPO. Hopefully that helps.
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WB 12Z EPS….good news is we don’t have to throw in the towel until next winter just yet….hopefully a discreet threat will appear by the end of next weekend.
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The GFS is vying to be the new DR. NO and King!
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Higher heights compared to 0Z Euro at same time.
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WB is very slow…,
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WB 6Z control which does closely follow the operational
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WB 6Z EPS, tick north but not a cave to GFS.
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WB 0Z EPS still showing our Hail Mary, mid March period so the end of the week is still not the last chance.
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Stark differences remain between WB 6Z GEFS and 0Z EPS. GEFS maintains its NW, rainy track. It will be interesting to see if EPS holds its colder, snowy solution at 6Z.
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WB 6Z GEFS
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WB GEPS 0Z compared to 12Z yesterday.
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OZ EPS mean was an improvement over 18Z.
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WB 6Z GFS… may do nothing to change the endgame but the pressure maps show a tick SE in track, we will see if it is a trend at 12Z.
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Does an expert on GFS have an opinion on whether it has a bias to be slow to pick up on blocking or is it correct in forecasting a weaker block?
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All three globals at Day WB 0Z at 7pm Fri.
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Still in the game, as suspected the tracking game for this storm did not end at 0Z…
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WB 0Z EURO
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1pm
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Icon 7am Friday
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OZ ICON at 120 north of 12Z
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WB 18Z GEFS and EPS low positions. If you think this spread is resolved based on a run at 7 pm tonight so be it.
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Really, at 5 plus days out it is over at 0Z tonight….come on folks….
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There is no margin of error. There is going to be a narrow band of heavy snow. This is a thread the needle event. It will be Wed. Before we know what will happen. Enjoy the tracking. We have had nothing to track in 2 months inside 6 days.
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WB EURO control is completely acceptable.
