Weather Will

WB 18Z GEFS shows that the upcoming period can deliver with a little luck….

Was told by the mods that allow the word F* and selectively enforce other rules (sorry the lawyer in me) no thread for Wed Storm until Tuesday. I plan to break the rule at 12Z tomorrow if warranted.

The point is that having two pages between every model run about the base state being warmer is not necessary. It disrupts the flow of those trying to track the differences between model runs. We all know the base state is warming and whether it is a natural cycle, man-made or a combination of both is a topic to discuss in other threads. We don’t need to be told every run that if this were the 1960s this pattern would result in a snowier outcome… PEACE OUT….

WB 18Z GFS for Wed. I am hoping for my first car topper of the season…

It is fantasy range beyond 5 days but it is nice to see something at range to our south….

Storm 2 Day 9 WB GFS

WB 12Z GFS and EURO midweek

WB 6Z EURO

No thread midweek until 12z tomorrow, let’s not jinx it.

WB 6Z GFS and GEFS for midweek.

It does not take a met to know what is getting ready to happen the next 2 weeks as we strain to squeeze out an inch before we change to rain with every storm. Head to interior New England. WB 12Z EPS.

WB 12Z Can ensembles look pretty good to me for midweek.

All good! Long work week….I hope 12Z brings us some good news for the middle of next week and/or late January period. Punting until the last week of February is depressing.

Your welcome! At least it’s Friday…

WB 6Z EURO. Congrats far western MD and the mountain ranges of WV for storm 1. NEXT for the rest of us.

WB 18Z EURO

WB 18Z 2 weeks and 56 runs to go!!!!

WB OZ EPS Wave 3 potential which would come in Day 11 (30th to early Feb.) perhaps is the one to watch with cold enough air finally established aloft and at the surface. Details to be determined.. But expectations should be kept in check for DC proper and East because most of the guidance does CURRENTLY keep the heaviest probability for significant accumulations N and W. The probabilities have remained steady compared to 12Z yesterday, Have a good day everyone. Hope for shifts SE over the next few days…

WB 0Z EPS Storm 2 for middle of next week is cooler for NW burbs Wed evening then storm one but by the time surface temps go below freezing overnight Wed. most of the precipitation is gone. The members that consolidate and strengthen the coastal low further south give us more snow, so this needs to bs monitored the next few days for trends.

WB 0Z EPS, late weekend storm (Storm 1) too warm at surface and aloft for areas east of mountains, despite nice track.

Storm 1 for late Sunday period is on life support on WB 6Z GEFS. Weak and too warm.

We're likely to get zero snow from Jan 22 to when it warms up again Can’t say that yet, but the GEFS extended is not looking good after early February. Hopefully a storm will appear between 25th-2nd.

Seemed like the 0Z GEFS took a step back and really shortened the window of opportunity, but maybe I over reacted.

Yup, after a horrible WB 0Z GFS from start to finish , 6Z tries to reel us back in for next week. Such a volatile pattern, with no clear trends yet.

It does not look like we will pull a rabbit out of hat in the next week or so if the deterministic models are correct. Boundary remains to our NW. EPS is not updating on WB but maybe that is for the best.. I have not given up but my expectations are low. Congratulations to interior New England….WB 0Z. It looks to me that we will have to see where we are later next week/ next weekend for a discreet threat. At some point you have to stop staring at 500MB potential and say WHERE IS THE BEEF!!!!