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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. Weather Will
    We need to see if the negative WPO is going to be real around March 5….if it does we should see some ridging out west and the cold should move SE. WB GEFS and GEPS. I don’t think that has happened all winter….
  2. Weather Will
    If I had to pick the period for our last snowfall chance based on WB GEFS extended it will be between the 10-17th.
  3. Weather Will
    The great pattern shifts have been 10 to 14 days away all winter….latest WB GFS extended teleconnections along with SPV and MJO give us the Hail Mary. We will see but the ensembles are just getting into the early part of this period so every 6 hour run does not mean much at this point. Snow means are bad the next 2 weeks.
  4. Weather Will
    WB 12Z EURO!!!
  5. Weather Will
    True, but I have been posting other kinds of maps too…. There are some some key differences within upcoming window, the strat. warm, some signs of a favorable MJO, and a negative NAO and WPO. If we get the PNA to get out of record low territory and a little luck we could get a crocus crushing event.
  6. Weather Will
    Never give up!!!! See what happens with a couple of waves if the SER relaxes enough for the cold air to move down the coast….WB 18Z GFS.
  7. Weather Will
    Something is happening, hot air is blowing out of my air vents for the first time this month….I guess it is cold outside.
  8. Weather Will
    WB 12Z Can for day 8 system
  9. Weather Will
    WB 12Z GFS 8 days away….
  10. Weather Will
    Yah, I don’t have high hopes although the latest WB GEFS extended looked better for the mid March period.
  11. Weather Will
    WB GFS MJO forecast continues to trend better for early March. Latest compared to earlier this week.
  12. Weather Will
    WB 18Z GFS. Swings are wild in the long range….March 1 at 1pm compared to 12Z
  13. Weather Will
    Stratwarm is definitely living up to its name on March 1 as we approach 80 degrees on WB 12Z GFS.
  14. Weather Will
    Today compared to yesterday….
  15. Weather Will
    WB 6Z GEFS…and latest GFS MJO does not go into Phase 6 the first week of March. So for at least 6 hours, still in the game the late February/ early March period.
  16. Weather Will
    Very depressing WB video from JB this afternoon. Basically, he was not impressed with the 12Z runs, and the GFS modeling is taking the MJO into phase 6 on March 1 which puts a final nail in our winter coffin. I guess we will know soon enough but Lucy is holding the football once again for Charlie Brown…
  17. Weather Will
    WB 18Z GEFS, not bad percentages and noteworthy four nice hits to our south…
  18. Weather Will
    WB 6Z GEFS inside 10 days…
  19. Weather Will
    WB 0Z GEPS 5 day anomaly gets the pattern change started the fastest…
  20. Weather Will
    My personal favorite of the day is the EURO weekly control….
  21. Weather Will
    WB 18Z GEFS. If you want snow in March, need cold anomalies. Under half of members are cold for March 1.
  22. Weather Will
    WB 12Z EPS…. the 5 day period starting Th. 23rd is the time where we should start to see a pattern transitioning to something more conducive to wintry precipitation. Last 2 panels are just Day 15.
  23. Weather Will
    WB latest GEFS extended throws us the Hail Mary as we go through the first week of March, so I guess we wait to see if that timeframe holds….but obviously we are running out of time at this point.
  24. Weather Will
    WB 0Z EPS PNA….if this verifies we can stick a fork in the rest of February.
  25. Weather Will
    And JB said -5 average temperature 3/1 thru 4/15… bold forecast; we will see….
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