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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. Weather Will
    Baby steps….6Z EPS compared to 12Z yesterday through day 6
  2. Weather Will
    I am just trying to be real, not negative.
  3. Weather Will
    Only 1 Member of the GEFS has a heavy snow band through central VA next week, not a strong signal….
  4. Weather Will
    What the WB 6Z GEFS is selling right now for next work week is slightly below temps for the DMV with the best precip. south of the area. Let’s see where things are on Monday. Nothing is locked in yet, but there is not a strong signal for snow on GEFS at this time.
  5. Weather Will
    Light dusting on mulch and roofs in SW Frederick this am….
  6. Weather Will
    WB 6Z GEFS next week sets the bar very low….
  7. Weather Will
    Close enough to the weekend and we have some waves to watch next week….let’s see if we keep trending positively over the weekend….WB 0Z EPS yesterday compared to today for the upcoming week… TGIF!!!
  8. Weather Will
    One of the factors that may explain the difference between GEFS and EPS is the MJO forecast. We need to stay out of warm phase 4.
  9. Weather Will
    I hope the overnight runs are keying onto the upcoming potential but there is no trend yet. Just a lot of run to run volatility to keep hope alive. The 0Z EURO run with snow on snow was the best model run of the season but it is just one run with modest EPS support at best.
  10. Weather Will
    WB Can seasonal….only 10 months to go….
  11. Weather Will
    18Z GFS and GEFS…
  12. Weather Will
    The upcoming period is different in that there are hits to the south and offshore unlike the previous windows of opportunity. Let’s see where we are by the weekend. No snow maps from me until the weekend…(yes, I promise!)
  13. Weather Will
    WB 18Z GFS on February 4. Find the puffy coat, and firewood….throw in the windchill….
  14. Weather Will
    WB 6Z GEFS, one of the better long range runs of the season, will be disappointed if we all don’t see some snow cover in the next two weeks. Got to like the hits to the south as well at this range.
  15. Weather Will
    Oops…
  16. Weather Will
    WB OZ EURO ticked south with the Wed. storm….0Z compared to 18Z.
  17. Weather Will
    WB 18Z GEFS
  18. Weather Will
    WB 18Z GEFS v. GFS temp anomalies…. toss GFS outside 5 days.
  19. Weather Will
    I am going with the 18Z ICON for Wed. Am. 18Z GEFS is onboard.
  20. Weather Will
    WB 12Z suite for Wed. WB 12K NAM,
  21. Weather Will
    The February torch Mets became very confident when they saw the MJO forecasted into Phase 4 ( warm phase for February). Last couple of days the MJO has trended toward going into the null phase rather than Phase 4. Maybe that explains some of the volatility in the longer range models. It can also give us hope that February is not a shut the blinds month.
  22. Weather Will
    WB 0Z GEPS, maybe it will finally be right….
  23. Weather Will
    About the same….
  24. Weather Will
    WB 18Z EPS for Wed. I personally take 35…
  25. Weather Will
    I hate this track. The angle is wrong and it's snows in PA before we get it! I don’t think Wed. Is a big storm for us. But if we get what the GFS is selling I will take it!!!!
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