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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. Very depressing WB video from JB this afternoon. Basically, he was not impressed with the 12Z runs, and the GFS modeling is taking the MJO into phase 6 on March 1 which puts a final nail in our winter coffin. I guess we will know soon enough but Lucy is holding the football once again for Charlie Brown…
  2. WB 18Z GEFS, not bad percentages and noteworthy four nice hits to our south…
  3. WB 0Z GEPS 5 day anomaly gets the pattern change started the fastest…
  4. My personal favorite of the day is the EURO weekly control….
  5. WB 18Z GEFS. If you want snow in March, need cold anomalies. Under half of members are cold for March 1.
  6. WB 12Z EPS…. the 5 day period starting Th. 23rd is the time where we should start to see a pattern transitioning to something more conducive to wintry precipitation. Last 2 panels are just Day 15.
  7. WB latest GEFS extended throws us the Hail Mary as we go through the first week of March, so I guess we wait to see if that timeframe holds….but obviously we are running out of time at this point.
  8. WB 0Z EPS PNA….if this verifies we can stick a fork in the rest of February.
  9. And JB said -5 average temperature 3/1 thru 4/15… bold forecast; we will see….
  10. It is under 300 hours, what do you want this year??? WB 12Z GFS…
  11. Latest WB GEFS extended throws us a Hail Mary but it takes us until early March to get there….
  12. Looks like limited MJO help, as it moves back to the null phase, but it at least not in a torch phase.
  13. WB latest GEFS extended…likes the period late February/ early March
  14. WB 18Z EURO v. GFS. Differences in precipitation totals at 60 hours is still significant.
  15. Looks like there was a tick NW at 18Z WB 3K NAM so we have our speciality- mid 30s and rain….
  16. WB 12K NAM 12Z v. 6Z. Thank goodness it is not cold or there would be a meltdown…
  17. Stark differences in track between EURO and GFS at this range…if we had cold air in place there would be lots of hand wringing until 12Z…WB 6Z GFS compared to Euro.
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