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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. Abysmal WB 18Z GEFS for the next 10 days. Most hyped pattern change ever for DMV. Congratulations to Northern PA Northwards.
  2. Take the GEFS longitude and intensity and the GEPS latitude and we have a winner for wave 1. (WB 12Z).
  3. Putting all my chips on the week of the 20th Hail Mary storm
  4. We know how this is likely to play out…wave 1 goes just to our north but is intense enough to squash wave 2.
  5. I thought that the control mimics the global at this range. I guess we will find out this afternoon.
  6. In general, my hope was that by early this week we would have locked in on a specific threat supported by more than one model. That has not happened, maybe by this weekend.
  7. Congratulations N.E, on storm 2. The DMV pattern change is from partly sunny to partly cloudy.
  8. Wave 1 is a bust, let’s see what wave 2 will do…another Great Lakes low..,
  9. I guess I am so pessimistic about the weekend because none of the globals are showing an intensifying low at our latitude. It is only about 6-7 days out.
  10. So with late week falling off the table rapidly that takes us to March 12. The 12Z WB GEPS and GEFS does look good for the following week, but the GEFS seems to lose the cold anomalies at the end of that period around the 21st so that may be it. GEPS looks like cold will hold beyond the third week of the month.
  11. The north is still getting a lot of snowfall this week…WB 12Z EURO through Day 6
  12. WB 12Z EURO; weak sauce for late week Miller B and moving too far east.
  13. I am being facetious, I hope we get something the next few weeks. I am just going to have to stop tracking overnight until we get a clear threat.
  14. One thing for certain, unlike last storm GFS is still all over the place for late week. WB 12Z Friday v 6Z.
  15. 12Z ICON gives us another way to fail. Transfer to the south and too far off coast….But I would rather fail this way and like the south trend in transfer. It is progressive because there is another wave now kicking it out…update: second wave washes out to the south. I don’t think the ICON can handle the pattern. But SER is not the issue this run.
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