Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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WB 3K NAM with surfaces temperatures either near or above freezing the depth map would be much more realistic. I would be thrilled with an inch or two....
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816 PM EST Fri Dec 8 2023 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Portions of DC, including the following , District of Columbia, Maryland, including the following areas, Anne Arundel, Cecil, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Charles, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Harford, Prince Georges, Southeast Harford and Southern Baltimore, and northern Virginia, including the following areas, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park, Fairfax, Southern Fauquier and Stafford. * WHEN...From Sunday afternoon through late Sunday night. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Storm drains and ditches may become clogged with debris. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Two to three inches of rain are expected Sunday through late Sunday night with the heaviest rains falling during the afternoon and evening. This amount of rain could cause flooding of small streams, creeks and urban areas. - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety and preparedness information
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Nice drought denting storm....and a little breezy....WB 6Z EURO.
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WB 6Z EURO snow depth map, I hope my dusting verifies!
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If there is a blizzard in NC for Christmas, I will be happy for them ....WB 6Z GFS in Fantasy range is cooking up something ....
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WB latest 6Z GEFS still showing a nice look as we head into Christmas weekend....
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WB 6Z GFS, drought denting rain event for Sunday still on tap.
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WB 18Z GEFS, still learning to read these 500mb maps but it it is great to see a trough rather than a SE ridge off the east coast and no deep trough over CA. Much better look than last year.
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Feels different this year, hopefully it will pan out, a little luck may go a long way or perhaps wearing your pjs inside out if you know what they are
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WB 18Z GEFS run best I have seen in a long time thru day 11. I know everyone gets annoyed with snow maps but to see big hits to the south is great....
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WB,12Z EPS. Still in the game for Monday!
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You should take your own advice, be positive. Happy Hump Day!
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WB 0Z EURO for Sunday/Monday. Maybe some conversational snow east of the mountains? Something to watch at 5 days.
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Latest WB EURO seasonal Jan. Thru March. Looks pretty good to me.
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WB 6Z GFS....welcome rain heading in Sunday
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Lot of volatility in the models, look at the one run temperature swing on the GFS in day 13 +....who knows what will happen.
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On the latest WB weeklies, it takes until the 1st for the cold air to get reentrenched and hold.
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Flurry watch still in effect for tomorrow night/ Wed. Am. Happy Monday! WB 6Z GFS.
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WB 12Z GEFS, next precip. maker most likely rain in the Sun. / Mon. period. I do like the stormy pattern developing..and yes there are a couple colder members....so something to watch.
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Back in the shorter term, flurry watch for early Wed. am, and nice accumulation for the mountains. WB 12Z NAM.
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The one thing catching my eye this am is that the day old weeklies would not reflect that the latest MJO forecast is much less amplified as it heads toward 7. So not sure how much help we will get from the tropical forcing as we head into the second half of the month. WB GEFS extended does not really get the cold air entrenched until the first week of January.
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WB 18Z GEFS at Day 16 v. Operational
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The deterministic models can't handle the pattern outside 5 days at best. Look at 12Z EURO yesterday at 240 hours compared to today at 216 hours. 30 degrees warmer on the latest run! So outside 5 days use the best thing we have, which is the ensembles.
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Correct, and this week will be watching for signs of the modeled cool down by the last week of the month.
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WB latest 12Z GEFS Day 11-16.
