Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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Not much GEFS support at 6Z for the operational. Compared to yesterday trending in wrong direction. (WB).
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Happy Tuesday! WB 6Z GFS
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WB 18Z GEFS basically is saying just a rain storm, not cold enough.
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Pressure is on me because I have 10 big wigs coming into town next week and they want me to tell them what the weather is going to be like….
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Heartbreaker incoming for someone. 1,000 pages and nothing to show for it since December.
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What we do best, a cold, windy rain…WB 18Z GFS B
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WB 12Z EPS
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The low takes too long to bomb out. I guess it will be this weekend before we really have a handle on next week other than to say it bears watching.
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Next wave (later next week) is too warm and sheared off the southeast coast. If it ever really started?!!!
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Don’t give up quite yet, next wave….but this is GFS after Day 5, who cares?!
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WB 6Z GFS….fringed.
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Only 3 out of 30 hits and timing slightly .
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WB 18Z GEFS, slight tick in right direction, blip or trend? TBD…
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It is the OPS. Not as good but still there. 10 days is a long way out …
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WB 18Z GFS.
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WB 12Z ensembles are a negative through Day 12…
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WB 12Z GEFS mean is not nearly as cold as the GFS global for the Day 10 period storm. No go for now.
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Ok, North and western suburbs are fringed.
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I don’t even get an inch!!!!
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By the way I have a big meeting in DC that I really need to do in person on the morning of the 23rd, so this storm is a lock!!!!
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Models are now picking up Phase 2 MJO for the period around Day 10….
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WB 12Z GFS… suppressed….
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MJO trending toward Phase 2 rather than the null phase for the week of the 20th. Perhaps the more favorable forcing will help us with storm tracks that week…
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WB 0Z 3K NAM
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I will wait two more weeks to throw in the towel, still some hope in the third and fourth week of March especially N and W.
