
Weather Will
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WB EURO seasonal Nov. release....January and February look pretty good to me....
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WB 6Z GEFS temp anomalies, 17% run cold, let's see how it trends over the next week...
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A positive PNA opens the door for cold air delivery, but the other indices are not favorable at least not yet. It is a good sign that the PNA wants to pop positive. Positive PNA was nonexistent last year and when it is strongly negative we learned the other indices really don't matter.
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WB 0Z EPS teleconnections. No strong signals here, except I like the trend toward a positive PNA toward end of run around the 16th.
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I like seeing snow cover building in our cold source regions to the North in the weeklies, that is good to see.
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WB latest EURO weeklies, look pretty good to me as we end the third week of December....
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WB Can. for February this month compared to last month. More ridging in Western Can. Less trough in East. Does it mean anything? Tell you in March.
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Chilly walk to my office from Union Station DC. Leaves blowing everywhere. Definitely fall-like.
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It is getting serious! Cape is posting WB maps
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Went to a funeral in Clinton, MD today, sunny and 81. Back to Brunswick, cloudy and 65.
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WB 12Z GEFS supports trough on east coast week 2 let's see if it trends colder over the next week.
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First widespread freeze outside the Beltways on Th. Am. WB 6Z GFS.
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WB latest EURO weekly for November.
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EURO still having trouble forecasting cold air even 2 weeks out. Compare weekly run from two weeks ago compared to last night. We are in for some wild forecast swings this year....(WB)
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WB 6Z GEFS, first week of November will be chilly.
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You mean this that I should not post from fantasy land? I have no idea how much it is going to snow this season but the vibe is definitely different. WB 6Z GFS
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Fall in Brunswick
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Could be the kiss of death but JB in a recent WB post says he is tweaking his forecast for a faster start to winter in January. Hope the November seasonal updates in another week show the same thing.
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WB CFS. One run but..January....looks sweet.
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WB latest GEFS extended and EPS weeklies do forecast snow in our cold source regions the next month, which can't hurt our prospects for some cold in December.
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WB latest EURO weeklies are within a degree of average for November and average precipitation.
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None of the seasonal models have shown a cold November or December but rather a transition to an eastern trough as we get into January. Could we thread the needle with a cold enough storm to bring some snow for the holidays, sure....but way too soon to figure that out yet. WB 0Z EPS teleconnections don't scream torch or bitter cold pattern the next 2 weeks.
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WB latest EURO weeklies last week of November.
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Slight differences between the WB 12Z EURO and the GFS/ GDPS for Friday night/ Saturday. I sense it is going to be an active and brutal tracking season.