Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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WB 0Z EPS v. GFS for late next week… something to watch.
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Global OZ Euro has the late week storm but is a rain event for us.
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WB 0Z GEFS for late upcoming work week.
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Honestly, the 18Z GFS is a really fun run, storm after storm with each one a little further south, lots of potential, we will need some luck.
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Yes, the Christmas miracle, yes, this is the WB GFS 18Z global model at range, but I am tired at looking at 500MB maps….so please humor me…
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Maybe some MJO help on the way also?
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Bad fog on my way to the train station in Brunswick. Little surprised no fog advisory in effect.
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WB 0Z… ingredient #1 for snow moving into place the 17th-21st on all 3 global ensembles.
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WB GEFS Sunday the 18th compared to 4 runs ago, my point the models still are not showing any clear trend yet…
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WB GEFS for Friday 16th 4 runs ago compared to 18z… Christmas Miracle still possible.
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Not according to WB 6Z GEFS…
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WB OZ PNA teleconnection EPS and GEFS. We will know by the end of next weekend if the EPS can deliver…
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Two weeks ago some modeling indicated this week we would see colder/stormier pattern. In fairness, the consensus seemed to be that was too aggressive and mid month looked more reasonable. If we get a colder stormier pattern before Christmas that is pretty close…
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I agree with the can being kicked down the road, but both GEFS and EPS seem to be in sync this time around for the improvements by the weekend of the 17th, let’s see if it holds…
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As we wait for a discreet threat to give us a White Christmas, it is looking increasingly likely that at least the holiday period will bring colder temperatures, which is ingredient number 1 for any snow storm potential….WB CFS and GFS extended centered on the anomalies around the 25th.
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WB 18Z GFS just the Day 12 storm…
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See it starting to go neutral to positive on Day 11 on WB 12Z EPS.
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So we have been watching and monitoring for months and as we get under three weeks before Christmas, we are still in the game for a wintry holiday, can’t ask for more than that in the Mid-Atlantic.
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WB 12z GEFS gets the PNA neutral the week before Christmas….finally.
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WB GFS, EURO, and Can. have a threat to watch 9-10 days out.
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WB 12Z GEFS, first 7 days and last seven.
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Ok, 3 weeks to Christmas. White Christmas statistics say we have under a 10% chance. WB 0Z EPS…( most of the prob. At the end of its run. 3 and 1 inch maps.) I will post prob. maps only periodically since I know it irritates some…
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WB 0Z GEFS and EPS both show a period to watch around the 18th-19th.
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WB 0Z GFS is improvement…
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WB GEFS extended and Control
