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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. Looking at the WB 6Z CFS extended there looks to be two windows of opportunity with colder air. The first period is the 7 day period peaking about the 13th. It then warms up again, and we get another colder shot move in around the 26th lasting until the end of the run in mid February with the peak of the cold centered around the 7 day period ending February 6.
  2. Actually this flip is different from the December cold snap….so hopefully we will get a different result….the trough is retrograding westward. It is not an arctic cold front…WB 18Z GEFS.
  3. WB 18Z GEFS P26 for this Friday’s storm. P2 for the January 11 storm. P13 for the January 15 storm…. What could possibly go wrong????
  4. WB 12Z ensembles…. Hopefully see big improvements by next weekend under Day 15. Patience will be needed before our next window of opportunity.
  5. Lot of false hope in December with H5 maps…chance of any meaningful snow the first week of January is de minimus. Maybe by next weekend there will be someone to track inside 10 days.
  6. WB 18Z GEFS still advertises an improving pattern and progressively colder air as we approach mid month.
  7. They need to add Frederick….the local tv Mets from yesterday did a bad job with today’s weather….no mention of fog….
  8. Very poor visibility with rain and fog in the drive home from dinner between Frederick and Brunswick…Littje surprised no dense fog advisory in effect….
  9. WB 18Z CVSv2 has it below normal 30 day period January 13-February 12. The precip. For the entire period is high….we need some luck.
  10. WB Extended GEFS control for the 35 day period, yah, I know but this place has gotten so depressing…and you always must have hope as you get ready to start the New Year!
  11. WB extended GEFS- 7 day temp. departures at Days 10, 20, and 30. Really takes until the 7 day period ending about the 20th for areas along the east coast to go normal/ slightly below normal.
  12. WB GEFS extended control goes extreme and brings the cold and snow….honestly, no one knows what is going to happen mid to late January.
  13. WB latest extended GEFS… 7 day period ending on the 16th…
  14. Nice lunchtime walk, warm even with just a light jacket…
  15. WB 6Z GFS at Day 6 and 6Z Euro ensemble mean at Day 6, ( not much different) extrapolate at will…
  16. What is encouraging is that the end of the torch period is now under 10 days….specifics TBD.
  17. Hopefully we will have a discreet threat to track by the end of NEXT week….
  18. 1/35 chance inside 9 days….18Z GEFS (1 also to the east, west and north).
  19. You take whatever crumbs we can get…this period is the only game in town the next couple of weeks.
  20. WB extended GEFS. 4 days ago the 7 day snow period ending on the 19th compared to latest run for the same period. Anomalies centered around the 10th for those that hate the snow maps….
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