Jump to content

cptcatz

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,041

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by cptcatz

  1. cptcatz
    GFS can't make up its mind with Nigel. After that crazy 00z run, it follows up with 06z where it doesn't even make it west of Bermuda.
  2. cptcatz
    Track kinda, but Henri was a minimal hurricane at its peak and made landfall as a tropical storm. This could impact that area as an equivalent cat 2 hurricane with a massive windfield. I know it's weenie frowned upon here to bring up the certain S storm as comparison, but it seems that's the most comparable storm in recent history.
  3. cptcatz
    GFS hour 132 looks like it's hooking west in Boston. Ugh maybe I shouldn't watch this frame by frame.
  4. cptcatz
    Icon, CMC, GFS all west at 12z. Maybe yesterday's euro was on to something?
  5. cptcatz
    Recon showing its intensifying. Pressure down to 951. Starting to look better on satellite.
  6. cptcatz
    00z GFS weenie run, basically worst case scenario for the mid Atlantic
  7. cptcatz
    18z Euro still brings at down to 917 mb...
  8. cptcatz
    Kinda interesting that it seems odds are quite good that Nova Scotia will get some hurricane-like impacts from Lee. In the last 4 years, Lee will be the 4th (post) tropical cyclone to make landfall on Nova Scotia, along with Dorian, Teddy, and Fiona. Also interesting is that all four storms peaked at cat 4 or 5.
  9. cptcatz
    This time next week should look interesting
  10. cptcatz
    12z Euro initializing at 984, steady for the next 24 hours, and still brings it down to 924 north of Puerto Rico, a difference of 60 mb. With it actually being 942 right now, does that mean it really gets down to 882?
  11. cptcatz
    Lee is about to blow open the hurricane/MH days stat. Looks like all those bullish seasonal forecasts will verify.
  12. cptcatz
    If this were to verify, i assume that would be catastrophic surge into Boston harbor?
  13. cptcatz
    Sounds like then it would show a 880mb storm riding up the east coast merging with a polar vortex causing a blizzard with 170 mph winds.
  14. cptcatz
    All major models now showing yet another potentially strong CV storm about a week behind Lee, NOT the current NHC marked orange. Looks like we're getting our answer of which will win the El Nino vs hot Atlantic...
  15. cptcatz
    18z euro ensembles definitely more sw than previous runs...
  16. cptcatz
    Yeah, still, it's not often you see Euro going to 917 in a long range forecast. This thing is gonna be a quite something.
  17. cptcatz
  18. cptcatz
    06z GFS decimates the northeast...
  19. cptcatz
    18z GFS with a carbon copy of Floyd
  20. cptcatz
    12z euro brings this down to 935mb. That's pretty unheard of from euro this far out.
  21. cptcatz
    Lololol NHC literally said "no way Jose" in their discussion. But back in topic, GFS and Euro ensembles bring this MDR system awfully close to the east coast. Looks like we could get the first legit long tracking CV storm to threaten the US since... Irma?
  22. cptcatz
    Head back to the 2023 thread, got another MDR system coming in the models.
  23. cptcatz
    Euro, CMC, Icon, and UK all show MDR development in 5 days. I wonder when we get a new lemon. This looks like it could be a long tracker ACE maker.
  24. cptcatz
    There's a nasty feeder band about to come through my house in Boca Raton. Should get interesting.
  25. cptcatz
    So the strongest winds are in the NE eyewall. Flight level recorded 71 kts, dropsonde recorded 68 kt at surface, although it had some mid-80's in between. Still not overly impressive.
×
×
  • Create New...