JakkelWx

Usually it's the opposite for me. I start with McDonald's and then reward myself with McDonald's after.

It's a place you want to go to but you end up going to the McDonald's across the street instead

Can't wait for Thanksgiving! So I can eat all of the food on the table and go workout at the gym after.

It's my top analog for beer and snowy football games.

Dr Dews seems to be perpetually confused

Coldest air of the season at 18/16 currently.

possibly the biggest weather troll account on twitter

That's one hell of a cursed image

Another reason not to get ahead of ourselves.. I recently read a tweet stating how warm Nov = warm winter and cold Nov = cold winter. What really matters is the upper hemispheric pattern teleconnections for the winter. A cold Nov means nothing if the ensuing pattern after the fact is garbage. There isn't much correlation IMO.

Cold out. 28/17 at 5:30 PM.

Snow cover continues to advance at record levels. Some relaxation in the extent is likely as the pattern turns milder.

Euro model has a strong trough moving through the region around the D9 timeframe but not quite the look I'm looking for if we want decent wintry precip. Ridge a little too strong in the NW and not quite in the most favorable spot, and the SW over California will have a tough time transferring energy to the trough in the east in that location. In general I think late Nov - early December timeframe will have multiple opportunities after the pattern shuffle warm up.

That's pretty close to cold powder in November. Impressive.

How long should I microwave a 25 lb turkey for Thanksgiving? Asking for a friend.

noticed the higher moon angle tonight not a good sign for winter

BAMWX supports the idea of a trend to colder than normal risks for December. What is interesting is the ridge in the SW US. That would signify a weakening of the STJ. EPS showing the idea of a -NAO developing just in time for Thanksgiving. Should be fun.

Could this be the fabled appearance of the Bay affect snow?

Not sure about you guys but I'd RUN. The end times are coming: Jokes aside, this is one of the best sunsets I've ever seen. Photos didn't do it justice though.

DP has fallen to 27 degrees. Currently 36/27.

Yeah don't take their forecast to heart, especially recently with the bad model runs for December about a week ago. Now the disaster torch that was advertised over the past couple of weeks seem to be getting pushed back and now it isn't so much a torch now but just generally mild, so I see how they have a higher confidence for BN vs AN. I have noticed that it may end up being the opposite of last year when the long range seasonal/monthly models kept on kicking the can down the road for a NAO block of all blocks that never actually happened until it was too late. The models this year may end up pushing the unfavorable setups back and we could end up averaging a legit -NAO for the winter.

BAMWX surprisingly coming up with a BN December.

Mood flakes baby!!

FTFY

I hated that dry slot. We stopped at like 13 inches before it sleeted, then a couple inches on the backside. The dry slot caused it to start sleeting because we were too close to the r/s line plus the rates weren't high enough.