Didn't expect to wake up to about an inch of snow OTG this morning, eyeballing it. I was expecting a dusting at most when I woke up, which I usually do three quarters before 6 AM
Edit: Unfortunately it's ending earlier than I expected though.
Down to 47/45 here. DP dropping like a rock as well as temperature while it's raining.
Mesoscale analysis shows an 8 degree temp drop over C MD last 3 hours.
Has a strong scand ridge forming around D9 and remains in place to the end of the run. Can see it feeding the -NAO in the NAO region. GEFS also supports the OP with a scand ridge forming around the same timeframe as the HH GFS.
Edit: Ninja'd by Bob
That's pretty much the only model with such low snow totals. Cranky is saying there's lots of moisture with this system and is leaning high but we'll see. Even the nam has higher totals I think but I'm too lazy to check