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JakkelWx

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Everything posted by JakkelWx

  1. JakkelWx
    Severe hail is hail that meets criteria for severe warning. 1 inch hail or greater is severe.
  2. JakkelWx
    4,000 J/kg of SBCAPE already and 2,000 MLCAPE. Whole area should be under a watch.
  3. JakkelWx
    Downgrade the slight risk. I'm sure we'll get something that way.
  4. JakkelWx
    Huge CAPE values over central OK right now, exceeding 7,000 J/kg in places.. I want that here
  5. JakkelWx
    Just as I thought it couldn't bust for the 4th time in a row i just get a heavy shower with zero lightning, with 20kft echo tops as the cherry on top.
  6. JakkelWx
    I am watching a storm form over Dover, looking east from the state line. Rain shaft forming as well and an anvil just popped out
  7. JakkelWx
    3-4,000 J/kg SBCAPE and 1500 - 2000 J/kg of MLCAPE per latest meso analysis over much of the area. Just need it to be realized.
  8. JakkelWx
    3rd bust in a row (last night had like 1 rumble of thunder btw) in my yard.
  9. JakkelWx
    Maybe a line will form an connect the southern storms with the northern ones. But then again that's just my weenie-ism talking.
  10. JakkelWx
    Guidance holding out quite nicely as numerous storms are popping to the south as expected. Seems like farther north has more discrete cell potential where the SLGT risk is. Literally nothing right now though.
  11. JakkelWx
    Why's the SPC have the slight risk over the eastern - northeast areas if most of the guidance shows the southern areas getting hit?
  12. JakkelWx
    Not a big fan of this cloud debris.
  13. JakkelWx
    Two garbage severe days in a row, managed to miss every storm except for a lame 15 minute golden shower
  14. JakkelWx
    90/69 here, CU field popping just east of me - probably the typical stalled seabreeze right along the Delaware bay's west coast
  15. JakkelWx
    Thanks for the info.
  16. JakkelWx
    Winds are calm right now which I think is a good sign. IIRC i vaguely remember someone saying that breezy conditions before storm chances aren't good.
  17. JakkelWx
    Storms forming just east of Baltimore right now as an update. For now it looks like only across the bay seems to be getting the action unless the line near pittsburgh holds together which i doubt it will.
  18. JakkelWx
    Looks like a night-time thunderstorm event on the way
  19. JakkelWx
    Yuck low topped thunderstorms... makes me wanna throw up
  20. JakkelWx
    Storms have missed me to the south but I got some nice views of cumulonimbus. Tonight seems like one of those nights where a surprise flare up of storms could happen
  21. JakkelWx
    Lots of turkey tower clouds OMBY
  22. JakkelWx
    Active severe season on tap if the long range 3 month models are correct about a slightly BN summer. Hottest part will probably be later in the summer, starting July and it could get a little dry at times but overall, active severe season.
  23. JakkelWx
    Fredericksburg cell rapidly fizzling out now.
  24. JakkelWx
    Round 2 just blew up outta nowhere over the chessy it seems
  25. JakkelWx
    Just crapvection ahead of the main thunderstorms.
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