JakkelWx
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Everything posted by JakkelWx
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3-4,000 J/kg SBCAPE and 1500 - 2000 J/kg of MLCAPE per latest meso analysis over much of the area. Just need it to be realized.
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3rd bust in a row (last night had like 1 rumble of thunder btw) in my yard.
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Maybe a line will form an connect the southern storms with the northern ones. But then again that's just my weenie-ism talking.
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Guidance holding out quite nicely as numerous storms are popping to the south as expected. Seems like farther north has more discrete cell potential where the SLGT risk is. Literally nothing right now though.
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Why's the SPC have the slight risk over the eastern - northeast areas if most of the guidance shows the southern areas getting hit?
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Not a big fan of this cloud debris.
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Two garbage severe days in a row, managed to miss every storm except for a lame 15 minute golden shower
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90/69 here, CU field popping just east of me - probably the typical stalled seabreeze right along the Delaware bay's west coast
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Thanks for the info.
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Winds are calm right now which I think is a good sign. IIRC i vaguely remember someone saying that breezy conditions before storm chances aren't good.
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Storms forming just east of Baltimore right now as an update. For now it looks like only across the bay seems to be getting the action unless the line near pittsburgh holds together which i doubt it will.
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Looks like a night-time thunderstorm event on the way
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Yuck low topped thunderstorms... makes me wanna throw up
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Storms have missed me to the south but I got some nice views of cumulonimbus. Tonight seems like one of those nights where a surprise flare up of storms could happen
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Lots of turkey tower clouds OMBY
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Active severe season on tap if the long range 3 month models are correct about a slightly BN summer. Hottest part will probably be later in the summer, starting July and it could get a little dry at times but overall, active severe season.
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Fredericksburg cell rapidly fizzling out now.
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Round 2 just blew up outta nowhere over the chessy it seems
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Just crapvection ahead of the main thunderstorms.
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Severe threat looks to be over. I had a nice short lightning storm, and a new cell popped up just east of me in the past half hour. Onto tomorrow, lol. Had a damn close strike btw
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Huge anvil i can see over Baltimore.
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This enhanced risk is garbage so far.
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BUST
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Still in the mid 80s in Baltimore. At 10 PM.
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Still some impressive dynamics around the Chesapeake and Delmarva area. There's still a lot of untapped energy in the areas where D.C and Balt have largely missed the action to the north. Wouldn't be surprised if we get woken up over the next few hours