JakkelWx

Lol

The title of this thread should be changed to Spring 2020-21 Discussion

Very cold cloud tops in these cells. Surpassing -80C in the coldest spots.

Future mesoanalysis has a 4,500 CAPE bullseye over MD's eastern shore this afternoon. Will be interesting to see how strong the storms get

Starting to see the reappearance of troughs off the east coast on the long range modeling. This has me wondering if we're going back to the cutoff ULL pattern over the east coast from a month ago. If so, then I'm gonna start getting really worried about potential east coast landfalls. Also,

I will get at least 3rd place!

Lol. Winter forecasts for 2020-21 are of course, already out on YouTube by the same usual suspects (a la DirectWeather, etc). Surprise surprise, it's the factory default cold/snowy forecast every year brought to you by armchair weather weenies!

I predict that the panic room thread is gonna be created on Labor Day and the reapin' list is gonna be full not 5 minutes later.

I researched it a little and turns out its a "wake low" which sometimes forms typically on the northern edge of a MCS squall line. I don't think it's an artifact.

Some sort of mesolow right over central DE which appears to be spinning on radar.

I hope we get some T&L this weekend from the late week system.

This thing appears to be heading straight towards me. Gonna get in a shelter just in case

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northeastern Queen Anne`s County in northeastern Maryland... North central Caroline County in eastern Maryland... Central Kent County in northeastern Maryland... * Until 800 PM EDT. * At 722 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Old Town, or 8 miles north of Centerville, moving southeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely.

Very cold cloud tops on IR

Me and @C.A.P.E.

We are about to get rocked.

All that this OFB is doing so far is producing broken up clouds that never make it to storm status and just fall apart.

Looks like there may be 2 main areas of development: DC - SEPA, and the eastern shore into Delaware as there's two OFBs about to collide over the DE Bay as mentioned earlier.

Radar showing 2 outflow boundaries heading towards each other over the DE bay.

Hardly a CU field at all here as well, meh.

Flooding rescues happening in Philly currently

Craven/Brooks SigSvr up to 40 in SEPA with 30+ all around the area along with a wide expanse of 4,500 J/kg SBCAPE/3000-3500 MLCAPE and DCAPE values 900-1100.

No FFW here, probably because of abnormally dry conditions raising FFG

Lifted indices of -10 in northern DE and a small spot of 5,000 SBCAPE as well. I see turkey tower clouds everywhere.