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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    WRT the MJO. I decided to look at the convection since its been a week or so and this is def. not a good place for it. If that is a coherent wave and that is where it is now though, it could evolve to the east, which would put it in a more favorable region, baring any interference by TCs or other nasties.
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    12z Euro still has the storm others were discussing above, but the thermals are a bit warmer at 12z:
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
    Yet again Masiello has said just enough for me to think I know what he means, but not quite sure, lol... The replies he has to "Vital Sine" below that are the part I'm talking about. The idea of a SSW event cooling the tropopause at the tropics has been discussed before. If he's right (and I'm reading this correctly) it seems like he expects a coherent MJO signal to move into more favorable areas in the Western Pac.
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    Slacked off here, and now some heavy sleet of graupel.
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    Fatties now flying:
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    Looks like I'm getting into these bands now: Hopefully more of y'all east of me can get in on it too.
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    Approaching fatties gettin' ripped up here, but not quite there.
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
    Hecking Chonkers falling up here, getting nickled and dimed (hopefully heading toward the Ridge of Oaks):
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
    Hopefully one of us on the plateau or E TN can luck out and get under one of the bands about to swing through:
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
    Mossy Grove: One picture though, reminded me of something. This one is aimed right at the heart of the Frozen Head mts, towards John:
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    MRX for SW VA: Another interesting thing to watch for this afteroon will be the slight chance for thunder snow; this is only for our southwest VA counties though. The SPC has this area under general thunder during the afternoon due to the steep low-to mid-level lapse rates and 100 J/kg SBCAPE that will be in place. This may allow for enough updraft buoyancy to generate a lighting discharge. Though the chances are slim it isn`t out of the question.
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    Just short of a dusting here in MoCo.
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    I saw a 56dbz return at one point NE of a Nashville. Not sure if there was some ground clutter involved in it.
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    Looks like there is almost a line starting to develop in NW TN: That may be what the models were picking up earlier on for late this evening into overnight.
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    Still virga here. This weather makes me really nostalgic for May on the CO Plateau. Very similar to may days above 8000 feet on Bluebell Knoll, Bryce Canyon, and at the North Rim of the Grand Canyon in mid - late May
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    Some mPING reports showing snow just north of Cookeville and in the southern plateau
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    Starting to get some feeder band action over middle TN as the eye moves towards St Louis:
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    No clue what MUCIN is, but I have it, so I'm giphin' it:
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    Right under the good lapse rates too. Some kind of CAPE there as well: No clue what it means, but it's gotta be good for convection, maybe??
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    Here come the lapse rates:
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    Wish I had time to get to the Frozen Head lookout tower this AM. There are some nice convective clouds moving overhead here, but can't really get a good picture from my location. I looked out the window and my first thought was wow, thunderstorm type clouds. Their tops are not very high, but have that convective look.
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    Feeder bands.
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    Based on the radar depiction i may have mixed with some snow when the rates were up (I was still asleep ), but mostly light rain and 35 now. Looks like Hi res is showing the first of the heavier bands trying to roll through around 6PM my time this PM. Hopefully I'll see something then.
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    I went for it. Jan 2021 Squallicane
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    Here's to hope:
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