Holston_River_Rambler

I'm at home in MoCo. I went up to visit family in Kingsport, but came back. Looks like I slept through thundersnow. The ceremonial beer can has been placed: Probably more like 4.5", but based on radar, looks like more is coming.

Easily 5 in inches here. The most snow I've seen since 2015.

Been up in Kingsport seeing family since the Boone trip fell through. thanks to all for the updates. Mid 50s for now.

Welp, trip to Boone has been cancelled. The person I was going to see has gotten pretty sick over the past day. Hopefully no COVID, but I'm still riding this one out in MoCo now. I apologize in advance for lowered totals with the 12z runs.

OMG they took my advice and used geologic processes to describe the system, lol: The strong cold air advection will also crater temperatures into the middle and upper 20s most locations. Thank you MRX! (at least I can hope that's why this person chose the word crater)

@jrips27 I just thought of another possibility for you: https://parks.ky.gov/corbin/parks/resort/cumberland-falls-state-resort-park I rented a cabin there to try and chase a storm in 2019. Storm didn't work out, but it's a pretty place. One of the few places you can see a moonbow on clear nights. The cabins are basically their own little hotel rooms and they have a larger resort hotel that reminds me of Bryce Canyon National Park's. It is only about 15 - 20 minutes off the interstate. The last 10 minutes or so is on a 2 lane state route, so not sure how quickly they will plow it.

A cabin in Pickett State park would probably be a good option.

What even is that little closed off isobar SE of Knoxville that the GFS thinks it sees? Some kind of meso low?

We need his memes

Not an exact match, but not far in some respects from the RGEM

18z GFS giphified

GFS is running

I'm not thinking straight right now. My mind is wracked with the grief of what I will likely miss.

In my defense COD has a floater just over the Carolinas and part of TN right now, so I clicked on that one for the highest resolution. But it did cross my mind. Sorry:

You know, we've not had to pull out the old "the energy hasn't been sampled yet" weenie rule for this one yet. Hopefully that's a good sign. The players are lining up: That northern energy is really digging in, almost north to south. It's after that southern disturbance and it's going to catch it.

Tod Howell WBIR throws down the TV met gauntlet: "snow will stick to itself" "rates will overcome"

Lord have mercy:

3km NAM:

Some of those sleet soundings on the 18z NAM have pretty narrow windows for melting. We will hug MRX: "I believe the strong CAA (and resulting increase insnow ratios) and rapid cooling of the atmosphere due to dynamiccooling will support a bulk of the QPF falling as snow."

That's ideal. I want to be stuck in Boone for 3 - 4 weeks. I will be at the base of Grandfather mountain and want to have to march up to the summit to see any hope of rescue from the HISTORIC snow drifts that approach the swinging bridge. Hopefully the NWS will have to invent a new warning criterium for what I will experience. Ultra Blizzard Warning, colored black like the color my flesh would be after only minutes out of doors unprepared. I want to see the tears of those who dread snow and ice to freeze as the flow down their frostbiten faces. They'll have to rename the month of March "Snow," it will be so historic, so dreadful, so cold, so snowy. Roads will be impassable and antifreeze frozen. Spring Break will be a mere legend, a long forgotten dream in the hearts of children, covered like the daffodils and redbuds in feet of icy cement. I want to read a NWS forecast discussion with words like "isothermal," and phrases like "quasigeostropic forcing out the wazoo," "frontogentic mesoscale banding," and "isentropic upthrust." The lifting mechanisms need to be compared to geologic forces, but playing out in meteorological time scales. Heavy. At. Times.

Even gets me in on the snow in Boone with a flatter look. I'm not sure how flat this thing will be though.

Oh yeah, that is eerie, lol

3hr mean snowfall: light green = 1-2 and dark green = 2-3