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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler
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Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
Holston_River_Rambler replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
We want it suppressed to Cuba at this point, right? Not sure how the para does with suppressed storms...lol -
Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
Holston_River_Rambler replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Didn't even need to get to hour 300 on the parallel GFS -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
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January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm happy for the MA folks. It seems like they've had it worse than we have. Honestly nice to at least see some CAD patterns showing up. If they can break their drought, maybe it bodes well for others. You NE TN and SW VA folks might get in on one of these too. -
Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
Holston_River_Rambler replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Happy hour GFS is going to deliver the goods today. Digital snow incoming past hour 300. In a McDonalds bag. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
If I'm whipping out Roundy's 45 day plots, we gotta take what we can get, lol. The Euro says it's happening for NE sections: -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Roundy's experimental projections haven't done too poorly this year: If that pans out, it looks like we eventually settle back in to a much colder pattern with an EPO ridge and an eastern trough by mid - late Feb. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Some of the convection in the Maritime continent is starting to percolate eastward, closer to 150 than 120 east: Maybe the models will start to look up even more soon, if it cam make it between 150 and 180 Either way, it looks like it has weakened some. Here's where we were at a few weeks ago (not necessarily weaker, just further west): -
Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
Holston_River_Rambler replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Also of interest: -
Is it already that time?
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Jan 2021 Squallicane
Holston_River_Rambler replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Light dusting on elevated surfaces overnight. -
Jan 2021 Squallicane
Holston_River_Rambler replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
MRX's map: -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Alright ye NAO folks, here we go: let's see what it can do..... -
Jan 2021 Squallicane
Holston_River_Rambler replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Lord have mercy. Reed Trimmer is nearby chasing squalls -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Nice flow from Mongolia into Canada on the Euro OP long range: -
Jan 2021 Squallicane
Holston_River_Rambler replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Caught a lightning strike with the next wave moving into NE sections. Energy is currently over S. IL: Here's a zoomed out version in WV imagery: -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
WRT the MJO. I decided to look at the convection since its been a week or so and this is def. not a good place for it. If that is a coherent wave and that is where it is now though, it could evolve to the east, which would put it in a more favorable region, baring any interference by TCs or other nasties. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
12z Euro still has the storm others were discussing above, but the thermals are a bit warmer at 12z: -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yet again Masiello has said just enough for me to think I know what he means, but not quite sure, lol... The replies he has to "Vital Sine" below that are the part I'm talking about. The idea of a SSW event cooling the tropopause at the tropics has been discussed before. If he's right (and I'm reading this correctly) it seems like he expects a coherent MJO signal to move into more favorable areas in the Western Pac. -
Jan 2021 Squallicane
Holston_River_Rambler replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Slacked off here, and now some heavy sleet of graupel. -
Jan 2021 Squallicane
Holston_River_Rambler replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Fatties now flying: -
Jan 2021 Squallicane
Holston_River_Rambler replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like I'm getting into these bands now: Hopefully more of y'all east of me can get in on it too. -
Jan 2021 Squallicane
Holston_River_Rambler replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Approaching fatties gettin' ripped up here, but not quite there. -
Jan 2021 Squallicane
Holston_River_Rambler replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Hecking Chonkers falling up here, getting nickled and dimed (hopefully heading toward the Ridge of Oaks):
