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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    AIFS at least aiming the qpf hose at the TN Valley:
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    This is kind of what I expect, 15th - 26th of December.
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
    Honestly I think it is not going to move through 6 as quick as we'd like. Remember how it got hung up there earlier in the season because of the MC convection, I can't see any reason why it wouldn't do that again. Difference this year is that it actually wants to do something after that. BOM is worst case scenario and it has progress after Feb 20 or so: I don't think it will look just like that, probably more of a hang up for several days even though models try to push it out. Still a lot over the Indian Ocean to flush through the MC as it moves east.
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    Definitely a struggle for anything substantial to get below 2500' just looking at the peaks in Frozen Head
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    Two halves of the same valley in Frozen head: Slo mo dendrites:
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    33 exact flurries @John1122
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    Looks like some 30dbz returns near the TN KY border northeast of Nashville moving toward Dale Hollow Lake. I fully expect John to get at least a dusting lol!
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
    I have a few light returns overhead @John1122but nothing falling. I can even see some clear sky overhead.
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
    Glad you posted that Knoxtron. I was able to see so high resolution evidence for the snow band that sets up to the lee of Chimney Top mt purple funnel indicates a faint trace of a band that then gets enhanced just before the 3000' peak (black circle), then a little bit of downsloping, then it picks back up again, but with a slightly different trajectory (red line) I threw some mapping over it on GOES 16 and it looks like it goes through N. Johnson City/ Boone's Creek? I was also able to see the one we sometimes see near west Knoxville, intro Blount county: It comes down to the lee of the Cumberland mts like Cross Mt and Frozen head then seems to split in to, with perhaps some TN River enhancement and Bluff mt. Black circle is, I think Mt. Leconte, based on the three peaks Looks to me like the northern of those two bands aims at Sevierville:
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
    We need some amplification in the pattern over the CONUS or North America. 0z Euro AIFS shows one way to get there. Now that model drops a continental trough over the west, but at least it shakes up the overall flow from a northern stream racing across southern Canada and squishing everything that has had any idea of amplifying. Hopefully if we can start to get some amplification when we get a more favorable pattern again later in Feb.
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    Some snow showing up on the OHX and JKL radars. Looks to me to be a different mechanism to the overrunning to our south. Some MPing reports around Lexington. Nothing around Nashville yet.
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    N. Stream says, NO AMPLIFICATION FOR YOU!!!!
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    Welp:
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    Frozen Head State Park this morning:
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    Some fine warm temperatures this morning:
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    In Oak Ridge and it is pouring. I wish I could post the rippin fatties image lol.
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    Sun came out and I had the heaviest snow of the day lol.
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    I made a video for someone a few weeks ago: Sorry I apparently recorded my wife talking too, so just mute the video. But it shows you how to insert images through imgur. Basic jist is get you're picture, save it to your desktop, drag it into imgur, then right click "copy image address". Once you have that address copied, you can paste it into Americanwx post and it should automatically pop up as the picture.
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    Latest NAM gets some virga up this way
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    We need some obs from eastern KY folks. NWS Jackson is talking dirty about deformation zones, baroclinic leaves, and snow squalls. Might even hit BuCo
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    Are they rippin' though?
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    I wonder how Knoxtron is doing? I have a slushy accumulation of less than .10th of an inch, lol. At least some of my old snow in shaded areas got to meet some new.
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    Latets HRRR has some pretty good returns over the central valley starting between 10 and 11 am and it thinks they will mostly be snow:
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