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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    It looks like at H5 the kicker dropping in from Canada has kind of ended up sweeping everything, including the Baja wave, out north and east. All that spawns a gulf low, but nothing too wound up. Just a massive load of moisture overrunning and what the New England weenies call a southwest flow event. It doesn’t all ever really phase so much as it just keeps truckin.
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    My wife is also having a rough time today. Though it doesn’t sound as rough as what you’re dealing with.
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
    I get a few more flakes when rates go up, but 90% sleet for me.
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    Satellite eye view of wave two starting in TX looks convective. A little curious to see a sounding toward Austin. yeah... I don't know if it matters in the synoptic environment, but the hodographs there have a little bit of a sickle in them.
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    I do believe the warm nose has won out IMBY (SE Morgan county)
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    Yeah, in this situation the HP is already sliding east of the Apps and funneling cold air down the Piedmont
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    Here we go, let's see how much I can get before the changeover:
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
    Getting a few fatties now. Moderate snow.
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
    Sleet and light snow here
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    A live look up the holler:
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    Last few frames of CC show the warm nose really starting to rise north:
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    I've been getting little waves of light snow all morning. It'll snow for a while then taper off, then pick back up. I think it has been struggling to reach the surface even up here in SE Morgan county
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    It was on GOES derived imagery too:
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    I’ll fix the title when I get back to my laptop
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    Strat split still showing up in early Feb Old googly eyed pattern
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    FYI I edited the topic title to Jan 24 - 26. Somehow I got it in my head when I made this yesterday that today was the 25th
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    For hour 84, not bad:
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    NAM 3km has some ideal gusts for 1/3" of ice accretion on the plateau !!:
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    Morgan county has almost a 10 degree difference from NW -> SE:
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    Baseline for later obs: Not much difference between East TN and CAD areas this AM
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    HRRR really showing very specific areas of downsloping in NE TN this afternoon:
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    Sorry about that, but I was pretty confident you'd have until noon and I still don't think we see bad roads (other than usual East TN drivers) until after 12, but better safe than sorry.
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    You can actually see the lift associated with the right entrance region of the mid level jet the SPC talks about in the satellite overnight: mid level jet: Watch this area:
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    SPC has given us a mesoscale disco: Mesoscale Discussion 0041 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0554 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Areas affected...Southern Kentucky...Western and Middle Tennessee...Far Northern Alabama...Far Northern Mississippi Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation Valid 241154Z - 241800Z SUMMARY...A mix of wintry precipitation is expected this morning from the Mid-South northeastward into Tennessee and southern Kentucky, where snow, sleet and freezing rain will be possible this morning. DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery across the southeastern U.S. shows a large area of precipitation from Arkansas extending eastward to the southern Appalachians. This precipitation is being supported by strong lift associated with the right entrance region of an expansive mid-level jet, and by ascent due to a 40 to 50 knot low-level jet over the lower to mid Mississippi Valley. The nose of the low-level jet will move east-northeastward across the Mid-South and Tennessee Valley this morning, contributing to the maintenance of widespread precipitation. RAP forecast soundings across the region have a warm nose from 900 to 700 mb, where temperatures are forecast to gradually warm to near 0 C after daybreak this morning. This will result in a wintry mix of precipitation. Snow may continue in parts of southern Kentucky through midday. However, further south into western and middle Tennessee, a transition to sleet and freezing rain will be likely. In far northern Mississippi and far northern Alabama, the predominant precipitation type will be freezing rain. ..Broyles/Mosier.. 01/24/2026
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