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purduewx80

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Everything posted by purduewx80

  1. purduewx80
    it escapes, moot at this point though.
  2. purduewx80
    seeing a quick increase in low-level winds on the local dopplers, too. TJFK showing ~45MPH at 1500-2000'.
  3. purduewx80
    been a few storms just S of LI all morning, wouldn't be surprised to see a rogue lightning strike or two around this afternoon as the upper jet amplifies in the perfect spot for lift
  4. purduewx80
    I think that's more of a downburst over the harbor. TJFK is on the lower right portion of the image, so it doesn't really indicate rotational shear.
  5. purduewx80
    add another to JFK's 75+. currently 81/75.
  6. purduewx80
    slower dorian + deeper lakes s/w. definitely worth watching next few runs.
  7. purduewx80
    there've been a few out there today.
  8. purduewx80
    Noticing the 12Z ECMWF is starting to hint at that. I think its worth watching trends the next 48-72H for a possible capture. Would be much more concerned if I were on Cape Cod or Nova Scotia.
  9. purduewx80
    legit threat seeing what's out west and knowing that a lot of folks will be bbq'ing or at the beach today.
  10. purduewx80
    getting good pressure falls near and north of the warm front now, which is allowing the bubble high over chicagoland to to weaken and shift northeast over the lake. there is also subsidence behind the earlier convection, which will be replaced w/ lift and fairly widespread convection later in the evening as the LLJ increases. severe weather is possible but i'd think some flash flooding is probably the bigger threat across MO, IA, IL and maybe southern WI overnight.
  11. purduewx80
    Totally agree; 12Z 3km NAM may have the best idea, but nothing has really captured the warm sector staying as far S as it is now. That warm front will be hard to budge w/ the new sfc-based severe storms riding it.
  12. purduewx80
    Deep layered southerly flow out of the tropics should easily produce mid-60s+ dew points, similar to Sunday PM. The ECMWF shows a peak of 69F at DCA Friday afternoon.
  13. purduewx80
    Curious to see what the fake BOS final will be; the FAA reported just over a foot on the field on calls this morning.
  14. purduewx80
    Double digits for SE MA.
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