midatlanticweather

Oh crap! It is Deep Thunder! Ya, not good! I did not know it was the same for some reason! LOL! Ya, tends to be crap.

Who has access to this model? Is it worth looking at?

Because we are map happy here, and somebody was asking for this earlier!

We all do. You know this.. Lol

I have to say it! INCOMING! Looks good!

Also makes sense when we get blocks! Things do not just ride out to sea without some chance of getting us involved. So true about the climo! The cold is just cold enough to snow, which means it is also just warm enough to not!

There are all KINDS of worries.. We are modeling way too far to get the specifics figured out. The jackpots and rain/snow lines can adjust radically.. we just are watching trends and excited when it snows in our back yards.. Details are coming! The consistency is a great sign! The pattern looks great! But we live in a fickle area that can break hearts quickly! But i get the concerns! We do not want any bad trends!

Basically, ideal.. too perfect! Would love it to be true though

I would need a map to approve as well! I will keep banter to a minimum! But you are on a roll today!

Let's see what Dr No says before a thread on Monday.

Total precip output was too low for my liking, but this definitely looked good!

About the way I feel when it snows! https://www.theburn.com/2020/12/11/ashburn-boy-really-really-excited-about-seasons-first-flurries

Where did @Bob ChiII and @showmethesnow go?

A friend of mine that worked in the Climate Analysis Center emailed me that morning and said he felt the models were wrong. I watched it for a bit and then called all my plowing buddies by noon and told them to get ready for a surprise snowstorm. Called my parents in Richmond and told them to go to the store well before any forecasts had updated. Was a fun system to watch, but it was in a drier band in Eastern Loudoun so I only had 10 inches when further west had about 6 inches more and, well, it was so awesome up near Baltimore. Was a fun one to watch and enjoy!

Super dry out there, but a wild sunrise! Temps bottomed out at 29.5 degrees. If you look at the radar out of state college you can see the snow aloft! Oh well.

GFS and a stupid GL low! That thing always causes problems. BUT, I put no stock in any of this.. as @Ji can attest! I must not believe anything.. I will jinx it. Interesting nonetheless.. lots of time for failure

Pixies in Purcellville

December 15th seems like the next big rain maker.. but maybe something wintry at the start? I dunno.. seems like potential - but no clean signals

What a waste!

1.33" so far. Still coming down well! temp at 48. Nasty Monday Morning!

Where is Bob chill. Did I miss something? This pattern has to get him more interested!!

Second wave after main front is the only way I know we could score in anafrontal stuff. Not that I put any stock in anything at this point

Got down to 21.9 early this morning. Sitting at 23.5 currently in Purcellville

Already hit 32.2. It will be a cold night!