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Albedoman

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Everything posted by Albedoman

  1. yep. Realistically, both will contribute but as water sources become less efficient and ground water tables fall, fuel costs to transport rise dramatically as nearby water immediate well sources go off line as well as increased pumping costs for each well. It is not cheap to run the pumps deeper. Self imposed restrictions water withdrawal limits set by the company and as set by DRBC/PADEP permitting requirements for specific water withdrawals for each well will help contribute to the increase cost of production. You may want to ask Voyager as I believe he operates water tankers for a living.
  2. fyi https://www.weather.gov/source/crh/snowmap.html?zoom=4&lat=31.91&lon=-92.67&hr=24
  3. blame the models on this one. It seems the models have forgotten about the LV this year and the effect of physical geography.
  4. No way. The snow falling now should be almost gone by Thursday and mostly by evaporation. However, a 2-3 inch long duration steady rainfall event would be real nice in early March as a drought buster when the soils are not frozen to the depth they are at right now and that would kill any chances of a drought. Just do not see this in this progressive pattern right now. This snow will be history by 9am as fast as this precip is moving.
  5. I verify here in Macungie with death band over me. Hitting 5 in and still puking snow. NWS should issue a winter storm warning. Tree limbs really getting plastered.
  6. well, here it comes from the media- Its an "OVERPERFORMER" . Not one weather model predicted this type of lifting right now over us. Definite now cast event. we just got plain lucky with the location of death band in the LV. Well over 4 inches now approaching 5 inches and coming down at 1-2 in per hour. By 6am, should be well over 6 inches if this keeps up. Winter storm warning maybe issued? Its the most snow on the limbs that I have seen in over a year. real plasterer for sure.
  7. 4.2 inches in Macungie right now still puking snow. Best snow all winter. Nice snowman making snow- wet fluffy snow sticking to everything except the treated roads
  8. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-New_Jersey-comp_radar-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
  9. I am quite surprised. I have well over 3 inches of snow on the picnic table here in Macungie and on the grass right now, much less on the pavements. The best snowfall rates all year with fluffy half dollar size dendrites falling heavily. If this death band keeps going, we will have met winter storm requirements in the next few hours. Again, its about dam time it snows here this year instead of at the shore.
  10. I am quite surprised. I have well over 3 inches of snow on the picnic table here in Macungie and on the grass right now, much less on the pavements. The best snowfall rates all year with fluffy half dollar size dendrites falling heavily. If this death band keeps going, we will have met winter storm requirements in the next few hours. Again, its about dam time it snows here this year instead of at the shore.
  11. yep, and salt water intrusion into the Delaware Bay becomes an issue as well. C'mon man. But really, the only one that will be laughing will be Nestle and Niagara as they raise the living hell out of the price for bottled water as they impose self restricted withdrawals from their water sources. Over 75% of the bottled water sold in our area comes from the water bottlers in the LV, including any Samuel Adams beer, Ocean Spray products and coke products
  12. thanks. The time frame adjusted to ides of March then.
  13. well, my 90 day forecast FWIW. Brutal ending to Feb. No more major snowfalls in Feb. Temps warm up above average. Precip- dry as a bone with occasional light rain showers with progressive cool fronts- nothing more than 1 in at the max March - only one decent chance for a major accumulating snow event. It will be the last hurrah and capper for this pitiful winter. Most likely to take place around the Philly Flower show time. Then it melts and Spring shows it face. Temps stay normal starting late March. Precip, dry as a bone except for this one major storm. Major pattern change opens up late in March to a -NAO April begins with the -NAO cloudy and cooler than normal before another new pattern change. After mid April, the stove turns on and dry conditions persist. I expect drought conditions to persist until the GOM opens up with t-storms. I expect a hell of season for early severe weather threats for the midwest, TN Valley and even the Ohio Valley as temps change drastically in mid April in the new pattern change.
  14. this wildfire condition is only going to get worse as the month goes on. The snow hole and drought conditions continue. Last weeks heavy rain only served to temporarily wet the litter floor and flood the local streams with very little ground/soil water recharge since the soils were tightly frozen. The base flows in the creek will start to rapidly fall in the next few weeks as water usage continues to rise. However, the soil horizon is starting to thaw out in the last few days as soil temps finally rise. We really need a stationary front over us for a week with lows riding up the front to put a dent in this drought condition . I just do see that chance with this progressive pattern that is for sure. .FIRE WEATHER... An unseasonably mild day is expected today, with highs mostly in the 50s. Following a midday to early afternoon frontal passage, dew point and RH values are likely to drop this afternoon. Minimum RH values of 35 to 40 percent are expected across most of central and southern New Jersey, far southeast PA, and Delmarva. In addition, as a dry cold front moves through today, winds will become breezy, with westerly gusts near 30 mph expected. This combination could lead to a modestly elevated risk of wildfire spread this afternoon, mainly south of the I-78 corridor where there is no snow cover in place. Fairly similar temperature, wind, and RH conditions are expected on Friday, though that day should not be quite as breezy with southwesterly gusts up to 25 mph. The combination of marginal RH values and fuels not having had much time to dry following recent precipitation should preclude a need for any Special Weather Statements. However, we will be coordinating with state partners and will monitor for any changes. https://www.drought.gov/location/18062
  15. long live that fricking donut hole. WE take this in the LV
  16. give me the 70's and sunshine now. Time for night time t storms to track. This winter appears to be a huge letdown.
  17. yep those pity flakes keep on falling. As I said before - Presidents day for the win. I see it on the models runs as they are choking on it now. They will get their act together in the next five days
  18. well, that map really shows where the groundhog dug his hole in PA this year LMAO
  19. my god the LR globals suck this morning and the GEM continues to donut hole us and give us the finger. I am ready for good time spring thunderstorms. This winter will go in the record books for sure as the year with no winter storm model consensus too. we could not even get pity flakes or just a few marbles of sleet last night in Macungie. The only things that happened from this storm event was heavier rainfall, the snow was gone in less than three hours, the temp gradient was remarkable from 39 to 60 degrees in four hours and during the night , the flash freeze did occur at sunset yesterday and finally the ski resorts will be in the red for sure.
  20. yep since nearly 100% of the precip ran off directly into the streams
  21. yep, I said that --Presidents day or bust is my motto. . Thats the usual MO of this type of progressive pattern we are in. I am sure the models will be flopping around on this possible storm event the next few weeks, especially if the AO goes into a real good negative territory at the same time. Coming out of a negative territory at the same time the LP forms makes sense for this time period and increase the chance that we actually might get a plowable snow event in the LV
  22. Freezing at Williamsport, 53 degrees at my house. Wow, talk about a warm tongue of air? 150 miles makes a big difference. Its too bad we are on the wrong side all the time this year. I am glad we got some rain even though it just ponding on the surface ready to freeze solid by tomorrow night. The creeks are slightly out of their banks but that is because it is 100% runoff on frozen soils. It seems the rainfall and snow fall are useless right now except for the trout streams.. One thing I can really say however, the ski resorts are taking a royal ass kicking tonight. Many will probably shut down many trails early if the Valentines day storm chances busts
  23. I was begging to say that. 10 days out on the GFS is just complete fantasyland at this point. GFS has been pushing back these storms every five days. I still think the Presidents day maybe promising before the next major pattern change and hoping the AO tanks
  24. I agree with Iceman. This has been the mother of donut holes for the LV. The LV has been screwed every way it can in this pattern, north south east and west and every model today continued to show the continuation of that fricking donut hole in s central pa in the 10-15 day models. I will hope for a Presidents day storm event because that is all I see right now.
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