Albedoman

C,mon man, my location in the bullseye for Saturday? These models are garbage. Lets see how many times this changes in the next five days. 11 in of rain. If this scenario actually happens, it will be the worst foods ever to hit Lehigh Valley. Isaias was bad enough in 2020 with 8 in of rain in 24 hours. here was my front yard in the pic below in 2020.

Laugh now Ralph, but watch the storm take a wide right and leave us all wondering what the hell happened. I will not believe the models precip runs again until my rain gauge registers two inches of precip and the precip is actually called for. These precip models have been poor in their guidance all summer. Hit and miss t storms will not make the cut. Even Mt Holly has had trouble with posting 60-80 % chances of precip and then changing their forecasts two- four hours later and lowering the aerial coverage to 20%. I have been using my leaf blower after every t storm because of the amount of scorched leaves from the trees being blown off from the gusty winds with little to no rainfall. It appears MT Holly is already downgrading the precip totals between forecast periods this morning too going from 1-2 inches to less than an inch in the last four hours. Enjoy your tropical rains.

Double the chances of sprinkles. Lines are falling apart bigtime

The crap that's coming our way in the next hour will find a way to manage to Miss all of us

well like i said in an earlier post, the drought watches are coming. Here is the first of many notices from private water companies. This morning- a few sprinles thats it. https://www.wfmz.com/news/area/berks/mandatory-water-restriction-in-effect-for-the-north-heidelberg-water-system/article_82ef7f16-517e-11ef-ad4f-9b7a759f97d5.html

You mean there is a chance----- LMAO

absolutley nothing- .02 in. The storms hit the Lehigh County line and literally died. Stiff breezes for the 1000th time - scorched leaves everywhere with small twigs and just enough rain to wash the dead bugs off the windshield. Drought watches coming if we get no significant rain by next weekend. Meanwhile we continue to bake. Mid tu upper 80 degree highs with 70 degree lows is awful ----that is not a cool down.

looks like a real good chance of precip in the next 30 min for Lehigh county. Like the rardar returns- Severe maybe?

c'mon man. Guidance has not been right all year for precip.

well, here it is again. At 3 am in the morning- 77 degrees with cloudy skies. No chance in hell of reaching the dewpoint again as the clouds heat up the ground. For the upteenth time this summer, debris clouds from dying dinural t- storms in central and western PA that never reaches us by sunset lie directly over east cental pa essentially baking us at night. Far worse than during the day thats for sure. No condensation relief from not reaching the depoints means the ground is baking and the plants start wilting and any dust and pollen on the cars turns to cement. When the debris clouds finally clear out by noon the next day, the oven door is opened up again, exceeding the forecasted highs. Rinse and repeat. This pattern really sucks and worst of all the accuracy for precip chances forecasting is even worse.

just unbeliveable- these t storms tonight hit the blue mountains and go directly north. 60-80% chance of rain went straight to hell this week. The lawn looks like a crabgrass factory with these hot overnight lows. Today it hit 92 in Macungie- five degrees higher than they thought. Tomorrow will be in the mid to upper 90's for sure. Where is the heat advisories?

lmao. It will take a TS to kill this heat and dryness ONLY. Dying cold fronts that hang over our region are no longer. They go right out to sea or come back as dry warm fronts with no convective material. Wash and repeat every week for the past 3 months. We need a dying cold front to reach the carolinas and form an LP on the front. That is not in are cards

Its a been a long time since I have seen precip chances dwindle so quickly - from 70-80 % to less than 20% in susbsequent forecast updates. With no significant rains in the next 10 days with another heat wave by next Tuesday- things are going to get real ugly in western lehigh County. This heat is simply relentless. Its warmer here than Memphis TN. Where are these so-called tropical storms to break this pattern? All TS remnants have gone up to Canada. No forest fires this year.

of course zilcho for Lehigh County. I feel like this steam bath atmosphere is a joke. The grass is decimated from the heat. Overnight lows failing to get out of the 70's is a perfect atmosphere for breeding west nile virus mosquitoes in sept let alone record breaking. Its not the daytime highs, its the overnight lows that are unbearbable

WE should be having boomers every afternoon with this humidity. Where is the convection? Drizzle is not going to help the drought conditions. Two days of spotty drizzle with temps in the upper 80's to near 90 with cloudy days will not cut it. 70% chance of precip should be reduced to 20-30% at this time. This crappy east west dying pattern is stubborn and will not move away. Bring on the TS to destroy this pattern.

Yes indeed- nada- drizzle and less than .02 of rain last night. The ring of drought still lingers around eastern Berks and western Lehigh

that sucker will never make it here in the southern Lehigh county area. Dry as a bone the last 24 hours. The block wall remains tight. Everything to the NW and SE of eastern PA for precip. Mt Holly needs to reduce the precip chances bigtime.

sprinkles in Macungie- 20 miles south- a drenching flooding storm. wow.

what the hell is it the official temps at LVI ? I have two seperate thermometers that are both over 90 degrees yet at the LVI it is only 84 degrees. A few degrees difference is fine but almost 8-10 degrees with no precip in the area? Most other local stations around me are near or above 90 degrees too. Too many days like this this summer. LVI is running toocold IMHO and should be checked for calibration. I know they have had problems in the past month.

the batch of t storms in western PA is going up to NY again. Hit and miss for the LV. We need some t storms to form between Chambersburg and Harrisburg to assure a hit and right now that area is a wiff and blazing hot. Looks like everyone south and just north of RT 422 is going to get some decent rain

no productive heavy rain- light showers.. Just will make it more humid.

Folks, why is MT Holly keep predicting 20% chance of showers the last two days when in fact there is currently nothing currenlty on the radar in the entire state of PA? Why even mention in showers in the forecast? There is no convective forces even in the area and capes are not being broken.

drought guy here says the drought talk --keep it going. LOL. Only a bonfide atlantic coast tropical storm heading our way is going to break this crappy la nina weather pattern. Hit or miss the next 5 days for t showers is not much. Stratified rain or training t- storms is what we need and after Thursday-Friday chance with Beryl's tropical remnants , the precip door gets slammed for weeks while temps say cooking. The talk of the town death Valley and vegas - temps near 130. Been in that back weather in the early 2000's. My foot sandal melted on the pavement in Vegas at 117 degrees . Overnigh lows were in the mid to upper 90's. Went to Death Valley 128 degrees when I drove through the National Park on my way to Yosemite where there was snow on the ground at Tioga pass with temps in the lows 70's neat trip.

I am amazed that southern Lehigh, eastern Berks and northern Montgomery were short changed on precip the last few weeks. I received less than 1.50 all month. I hope July changes as it is the wettest month. The cool front with a nice breeze will be talk the next few days as the DP has literally crashed in the last few hours. The other outstanding factor is the lack of convective lighting and thunder with these cold fronts the last month. I am used to t storms in the early afternoon with big boomers. Where has all of the convective energy gone? No training t storms too. Ouflow boundaries galore with quick washout t- showers rules the roost. Lets see if the remnants of Beryl make it here by the end of next weekend. The pattern may change. still beats the hell out of the smoke like last year.

the drought guy says drought is still on. I got t less than .15 in of rain- just enough to wash away the dust, pollen and dead leaves into the storm sewer. Round two aroud midnight better produce. All the models at this point are unreliable as these storms blow themselves out to quickly. We need training t- storms yet to see that at all this year.