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Everything posted by OrdIowPitMsp
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Winter 2023/24 Medium/Long Range Discussion
OrdIowPitMsp replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The last few sentences of the MPX forecast discussion. Pretty impressive to knock off a record this old and historic. “We don`t want to count the chickens before the eggs hatch, but it`s looking increasingly likely that this winter will knock the winter of 1877-1878 from the top spot of warmest winters on record in the Twin Cities. A crown that winter has worn for 146 years...” -
Snow underway here. The hi-res models depicted an hour of rain at onset, but it was mostly frozen from the get go. Ground is wet, deck is white. NWS says 3-5” game on.
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February 14, 2024 - The first winter weather advisory of the season imby. Incredible “winter”
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NAM showing 2-4” imby tomorrow. My heart says yes, but my mind knows it’s likely just foolish NAM games.
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I’ll keep digging for the daily weather reports and link it here too. https://www.dnr.state.mn.us/climate/twin_cities/snelling.html
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Somewhere SW of the metro is the futility bullseye, some farm has probably seen ~2-4 of snowfall all winter. The official measuring site for Minneapolis is the airport which is just about smack dab in the middle of the metro - 7.3” season to date. The WFO office is in Chanhassen a suburb 22 miles SW of the airport. After a 100” season last year the WFO is sitting at 5.8” currently. The NWS map, while far from perfect, shows a broad area to my SW with under 6” accumulation to date.
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Looks like advisory level snows across southern Minnesota on Wednesday afternoon. Another painful miss for the twin cities to maintain seasonal trends. I’ll go with 0.3” at the airport final call.
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Winter 2023/24 Medium/Long Range Discussion
OrdIowPitMsp replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
MPX forecast discussions are mentioning even with average temperatures moving forward we will still break the record for warmest winter. -
Winter '23-'24 Piss and Moan/Banter Thread
OrdIowPitMsp replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Personally it really doesn’t matter a whole lot right now how big of a train wreck this winter turns out to be. My wife and I welcomed our 2nd child into the world last week. Cloud 9 only begins to describe how I feel. You can’t change the weather but you can impact and shape the little creatures you create in life.- 850 replies
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Deck and frozen lake are dusted. Nothing sticking to this warm ground. Top 10 event of the season.
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Look at that lovely snow hole over the upper Midwest. Saw a few flurries this morning so I got that going for me.
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Finally saw some precipitation. 0.12” of rain this morning, just about doubling our total for the year to 0.25” Also saw a pair of trumpeter swans looking for open water on the still frozen lake.
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Off the charts warmth. Temperature departures are running +20 across Minnesota so far this month.
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Winter 2023/24 Medium/Long Range Discussion
OrdIowPitMsp replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Thursday’s precipitation event has mostly vanished imby. Full run GFS showing 0.10” of total precip. Still sitting at 0.13” of total precip in 2024. -
Winter 2023/24 Medium/Long Range Discussion
OrdIowPitMsp replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Long range still looks bleak for the upper Midwest. At least northern Minnesota will get a good soaking rain…in February. -
Crisp and clear with unrestricted visibility at MSP.
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The big cooldown everyone has been talking about will bring our temperatures down to only 5-10 degrees above average. Give this winter it’s futility crown. Got down to 24 last night, our average high.
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Winter '23-'24 Piss and Moan/Banter Thread
OrdIowPitMsp replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The fire dept was at my local lake with an ice rescue boat on my drive home today. Not sure if they were training or someone fell through the ice. People had ice houses setup yesterday but none today. My brother in law was ice fishing in the suburbs last weekend and that lake still had 10” ice on it, but surely conditions have degraded by now. -
Winter 2023/24 Medium/Long Range Discussion
OrdIowPitMsp replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
All I care about this spring/summer is getting somewhat normal precipitation, tornado chances are just a bonus. 3 years of flash drought is enough, and this winter is making wildfire season look quite brutal in northern Minnesota unless the pattern turns wet. -
Winter 2023/24 Medium/Long Range Discussion
OrdIowPitMsp replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The record number of 50 degree days in DJF for Minneapolis is 8. We are currently at 7 with the potential to add a few and set the record next week. -
Winter '23-'24 Piss and Moan/Banter Thread
OrdIowPitMsp replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Gotcha, makes sense to further his narrative. Someone want to post a low temperature anomalies map. -
Winter '23-'24 Piss and Moan/Banter Thread
OrdIowPitMsp replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Where is JB getting those maps? MSP was over 5 degrees above average in January, and that is showing near normal temps. -
Minneapolis finished with 0.13” of precipitation for the month of January with 2.0” falling as snow.
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Diurnal swings are impressive this time of year. After a high of 55 yesterday we got down to 28 with heavy freezing fog overnight. Roads are slippery.
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New record high of 55 in Minneapolis smashing the old record of 46. We missed tying the all time January record by 1 degree. I was working outside in a t-shirt today.